Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.312.57safe0.29–2.220.46–2.170.75–4.39safer0.04–2.480.23–2.400.27–4.87
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.188.41safe2.37–6.092.44–5.934.81–12.02safer1.88–6.581.98–6.393.85–12.97
Total shots
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1812.4725.65safe9.25–17.108.91–16.0418.17–33.14safer8.16–18.207.95–17.0016.12–35.19
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction7.878.0115.88safe4.93–10.815.33–10.6910.26–21.50safer4.10–11.644.59–11.438.69–23.07
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.723.146.86safe1.84–5.611.48–4.793.32–10.40safer1.30–6.150.99–5.282.29–11.43
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.589.76safe2.97–7.402.58–6.585.55–13.98safer2.40–7.972.04–7.114.44–15.08
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction52.9746.86safe46.18–59.7640.07–53.64safer44.51–61.4338.40–55.32
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction456358814safe388–523292–425680–947safer370–541274–442644–983
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction69.3668.88safe65.33–73.3964.55–73.20safer64.04–74.6863.24–74.51
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2113.4725.68safe9.37–15.0510.52–16.4119.90–31.46safer8.62–15.809.77–17.1618.39–32.97
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.943.47safe0.37–2.690.84–3.031.21–5.72safer0.07–2.990.55–3.320.62–6.31
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.263.93safe0.63–2.721.13–3.391.76–6.11safer0.36–2.990.84–3.681.20–6.67
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.962.895.85safe1.52–4.391.33–4.452.86–8.84safer1.13–4.780.91–4.872.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.22 0.04–2.48 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 35% 27% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 4.18 2.44–5.93 1.98–6.39 | 8.41 4.81–12.02 3.85–12.97 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.18 9.25–17.10 8.16–18.20 | 12.47 8.91–16.04 7.95–17.00 | 25.65 18.17–33.14 16.12–35.19 | 52% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.87 4.93–10.81 4.10–11.64 | 8.01 5.33–10.69 4.59–11.43 | 15.88 10.26–21.50 8.69–23.07 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.86 3.32–10.40 2.29–11.43 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.04–7.11 | 9.76 5.55–13.98 4.44–15.08 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 52.97 46.18–59.76 44.51–61.43 | 46.86 40.07–53.64 38.40–55.32 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 456 388–523 370–541 | 358 292–425 274–442 | 814 680–947 644–983 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.36 65.33–73.39 64.04–74.68 | 68.88 64.55–73.20 63.24–74.51 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.05 8.62–15.80 | 13.47 10.52–16.41 9.77–17.16 | 25.68 19.90–31.46 18.39–32.97 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.94 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.32 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.93 1.76–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.89 1.33–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+