La Liga·Regular Season - 36·
La Liga·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.972.923.89safe0.00–1.942.07–3.772.07–5.72safer0.00–2.191.84–4.001.59–6.19
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.577.3310.90safe1.71–5.435.58–9.077.29–14.50safer1.22–5.925.12–9.546.34–15.46
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3819.1928.57safe5.46–13.3115.62–22.7521.08–36.06safer4.37–14.4014.66–23.7119.03–38.11
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4213.4619.88safe3.48–9.3610.78–16.1414.26–25.50safer2.65–10.1910.04–16.8812.69–27.07
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.565.387.94safe0.68–4.443.72–7.034.40–11.48safer0.14–4.993.23–7.523.37–12.51
Corners
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.866.6510.52safe1.65–6.084.65–8.656.30–14.73safer1.08–6.654.12–9.195.20–15.84
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction30.8770.69safe24.08–37.6663.90–77.47safer22.41–39.3362.23–79.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3227151037safe255–389648–781903–1170safer237–407631–799867–1206
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction58.1183.55safe54.08–62.1479.23–87.88safer52.79–63.4377.92–89.19
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction10.618.5319.15safe7.78–13.455.59–11.4813.36–24.93safer7.02–14.214.84–12.2211.86–26.43
Offsides
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.692.275.95safe2.53–4.851.17–3.363.70–8.21safer2.23–5.150.88–3.653.11–8.79
Yellow cards
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.343.03safe0.65–2.750.21–2.460.86–5.21safer0.38–3.010.00–2.760.30–5.77
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.902.487.38safe3.47–6.340.92–4.034.39–10.37safer3.08–6.730.50–4.463.58–11.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 2.92 2.07–3.77 1.84–4.00 | 3.89 2.07–5.72 1.59–6.19 | 14% 77% |
| Shots on target | 3.57 1.71–5.43 1.22–5.92 | 7.33 5.58–9.07 5.12–9.54 | 10.90 7.29–14.50 6.34–15.46 | 84% |
| Total shots | 9.38 5.46–13.31 4.37–14.40 | 19.19 15.62–22.75 14.66–23.71 | 28.57 21.08–36.06 19.03–38.11 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 6.42 3.48–9.36 2.65–10.19 | 13.46 10.78–16.14 10.04–16.88 | 19.88 14.26–25.50 12.69–27.07 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.56 0.68–4.44 0.14–4.99 | 5.38 3.72–7.03 3.23–7.52 | 7.94 4.40–11.48 3.37–12.51 | 80% |
| Corners | 3.86 1.65–6.08 1.08–6.65 | 6.65 4.65–8.65 4.12–9.19 | 10.52 6.30–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 15% 76% |
| Possession % | 30.87 24.08–37.66 22.41–39.33 | 70.69 63.90–77.47 62.23–79.14 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 322 255–389 237–407 | 715 648–781 631–799 | 1037 903–1170 867–1206 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.11 54.08–62.14 52.79–63.43 | 83.55 79.23–87.88 77.92–89.19 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.78–13.45 7.02–14.21 | 8.53 5.59–11.48 4.84–12.22 | 19.15 13.36–24.93 11.86–26.43 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 3.69 2.53–4.85 2.23–5.15 | 2.27 1.17–3.36 0.88–3.65 | 5.95 3.70–8.21 3.11–8.79 | 65% 14% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 1.34 0.21–2.46 0.00–2.76 | 3.03 0.86–5.21 0.30–5.77 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.90 3.47–6.34 3.08–6.73 | 2.48 0.92–4.03 0.50–4.46 | 7.38 4.39–10.37 3.58–11.19 | 76% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.