Predicted match statistics
Goals
94%
homeawaytotalprediction4.520.685.20safe3.55–5.490.00–1.533.37–7.02safer3.30–5.740.00–1.762.89–7.50
Shots on target
99%
homeawaytotalprediction9.992.2612.25safe8.13–11.860.51–4.008.64–15.85safer7.64–12.340.05–4.467.69–16.81
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.756.7530.50safe19.82–27.673.19–10.3123.01–37.99safer18.73–28.762.23–11.2720.96–40.04
Shots in box
100%
homeawaytotalprediction16.504.0620.56safe13.55–19.441.38–6.7414.93–26.18safer12.72–20.270.64–7.4813.37–27.75
Blocked shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction5.921.307.22safe4.04–7.810.00–2.953.68–10.75safer3.50–8.350.00–3.442.65–11.79
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction8.982.4311.41safe6.77–11.190.43–4.437.19–15.62safer6.19–11.770.00–4.966.09–16.73
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction74.2226.29safe67.43–81.0119.51–33.08safer65.76–82.6817.83–34.75
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7823081091safe715–850242–375957–1224safer697–868224–392921–1260
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction83.9467.01safe79.91–87.9762.68–71.33safer78.62–89.2661.37–72.64
Fouls
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5511.7320.28safe5.71–11.398.78–14.6714.49–26.06safer4.96–12.148.03–15.4212.99–27.56
Offsides
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.155.65safe1.34–3.662.06–4.243.39–7.90safer1.03–3.961.77–4.532.80–8.49
Yellow cards
20%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.911.692.60safe0.00–1.960.56–2.820.42–4.77safer0.00–2.220.27–3.110.00–5.33
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
91%
homeawaytotalprediction1.805.937.73safe0.37–3.244.37–7.494.74–10.73safer0.00–3.633.95–7.913.93–11.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4.52 3.55–5.49 3.30–5.74 | 0.68 0.00–1.53 0.00–1.76 | 5.20 3.37–7.02 2.89–7.50 | 94% |
| Shots on target | 9.99 8.13–11.86 7.64–12.34 | 2.26 0.51–4.00 0.05–4.46 | 12.25 8.64–15.85 7.69–16.81 | 99% |
| Total shots | 23.75 19.82–27.67 18.73–28.76 | 6.75 3.19–10.31 2.23–11.27 | 30.50 23.01–37.99 20.96–40.04 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.50 13.55–19.44 12.72–20.27 | 4.06 1.38–6.74 0.64–7.48 | 20.56 14.93–26.18 13.37–27.75 | 100% |
| Blocked shots | 5.92 4.04–7.81 3.50–8.35 | 1.30 0.00–2.95 0.00–3.44 | 7.22 3.68–10.75 2.65–11.79 | 95% |
| Corners | 8.98 6.77–11.19 6.19–11.77 | 2.43 0.43–4.43 0.00–4.96 | 11.41 7.19–15.62 6.09–16.73 | 97% |
| Possession % | 74.22 67.43–81.01 65.76–82.68 | 26.29 19.51–33.08 17.83–34.75 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 782 715–850 697–868 | 308 242–375 224–392 | 1091 957–1224 921–1260 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.94 79.91–87.97 78.62–89.26 | 67.01 62.68–71.33 61.37–72.64 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 8.55 5.71–11.39 4.96–12.14 | 11.73 8.78–14.67 8.03–15.42 | 20.28 14.49–26.06 12.99–27.56 | 21% 72% |
| Offsides | 2.50 1.34–3.66 1.03–3.96 | 3.15 2.06–4.24 1.77–4.53 | 5.65 3.39–7.90 2.80–8.49 | 31% 17% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 0.91 0.00–1.96 0.00–2.22 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 2.60 0.42–4.77 0.00–5.33 | 20% 24% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.80 0.37–3.24 0.00–3.63 | 5.93 4.37–7.49 3.95–7.91 | 7.73 4.74–10.73 3.93–11.54 | 91% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.