La Liga·Regular Season - 37·
La Liga·Regular Season - 37·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.120.893.01safe1.15–3.080.03–1.741.18–4.83safer0.90–3.340.00–1.970.70–5.31
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.203.019.21safe4.34–8.071.26–4.755.60–12.81safer3.85–8.550.80–5.224.65–13.77
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.598.6126.20safe13.67–21.525.05–12.1718.71–33.69safer12.58–22.614.09–13.1316.66–35.74
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.505.8317.33safe8.56–14.453.15–8.5111.71–22.95safer7.73–15.272.41–9.2510.14–24.52
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.032.317.34safe3.15–6.910.66–3.973.81–10.88safer2.60–7.450.17–4.462.77–11.91
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.723.139.86safe4.51–8.931.13–5.135.64–14.07safer3.93–9.510.60–5.674.54–15.18
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.1435.58safe56.35–69.9328.80–42.37safer54.68–71.6027.13–44.04
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction617331948safe550–685265–397815–1082safer532–703247–415779–1118
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction78.3067.27safe74.27–82.3362.94–71.59safer72.98–83.6261.63–72.90
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8112.8025.62safe9.98–15.659.86–15.7519.84–31.40safer9.22–16.419.11–16.5018.33–32.91
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.292.95safe0.50–2.830.19–2.380.70–5.20safer0.20–3.130.00–2.670.11–5.79
Yellow cards
23%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.373.85safe0.43–2.531.24–3.501.67–6.03safer0.16–2.790.95–3.791.11–6.59
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction1.913.905.81safe0.48–3.352.34–5.462.82–8.80safer0.09–3.741.92–5.882.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.08 0.90–3.34 | 0.89 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 3.01 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 66% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.20 4.34–8.07 3.85–8.55 | 3.01 1.26–4.75 0.80–5.22 | 9.21 5.60–12.81 4.65–13.77 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.59 13.67–21.52 12.58–22.61 | 8.61 5.05–12.17 4.09–13.13 | 26.20 18.71–33.69 16.66–35.74 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.50 8.56–14.45 7.73–15.27 | 5.83 3.15–8.51 2.41–9.25 | 17.33 11.71–22.95 10.14–24.52 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.03 3.15–6.91 2.60–7.45 | 2.31 0.66–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 7.34 3.81–10.88 2.77–11.91 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.72 4.51–8.93 3.93–9.51 | 3.13 1.13–5.13 0.60–5.67 | 9.86 5.64–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 84% |
| Possession % | 63.14 56.35–69.93 54.68–71.60 | 35.58 28.80–42.37 27.13–44.04 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 617 550–685 532–703 | 331 265–397 247–415 | 948 815–1082 779–1118 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.30 74.27–82.33 72.98–83.62 | 67.27 62.94–71.59 61.63–72.90 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.98–15.65 9.22–16.41 | 12.80 9.86–15.75 9.11–16.50 | 25.62 19.84–31.40 18.33–32.91 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.83 0.20–3.13 | 1.29 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 2.95 0.70–5.20 0.11–5.79 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 3.85 1.67–6.03 1.11–6.59 | 23% 19% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.91 0.48–3.35 0.09–3.74 | 3.90 2.34–5.46 1.92–5.88 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.62 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.