La Liga·Regular Season - 38·
La Liga·Regular Season - 38·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.790.992.77safe0.82–2.750.13–1.840.95–4.59safer0.57–3.010.00–2.070.47–5.07
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.673.729.40safe3.81–7.541.98–5.475.79–13.00safer3.32–8.031.52–5.934.84–13.96
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8611.4728.33safe12.93–20.787.91–15.0320.84–35.81safer11.84–21.876.95–15.9918.79–37.86
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.306.8418.14safe8.36–14.254.16–9.5212.52–23.77safer7.53–15.083.42–10.2610.95–25.33
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.882.817.70safe3.00–6.771.16–4.464.16–11.23safer2.46–7.310.67–4.963.13–12.27
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.953.9610.91safe4.73–9.161.96–5.966.69–15.12safer4.16–9.731.43–6.495.58–16.23
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.4642.31safe50.67–64.2535.52–49.09safer49.00–65.9233.85–50.77
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction537378915safe470–604312–445781–1049safer452–622294–462746–1084
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction72.8369.26safe68.80–76.8664.93–73.58safer67.50–78.1563.62–74.89
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0511.9121.96safe7.22–12.898.96–14.8516.18–27.74safer6.46–13.658.22–15.6014.67–29.25
Offsides
27%
18%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.634.48safe0.69–3.011.53–3.722.23–6.73safer0.39–3.311.25–4.011.64–7.32
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.013.39safe0.33–2.430.88–3.141.21–5.57safer0.06–2.700.59–3.430.66–6.13
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.553.576.12safe1.11–3.992.01–5.123.12–9.11safer0.73–4.371.59–5.552.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.01 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.67 3.81–7.54 3.32–8.03 | 3.72 1.98–5.47 1.52–5.93 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.84–13.96 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.86 12.93–20.78 11.84–21.87 | 11.47 7.91–15.03 6.95–15.99 | 28.33 20.84–35.81 18.79–37.86 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 11.30 8.36–14.25 7.53–15.08 | 6.84 4.16–9.52 3.42–10.26 | 18.14 12.52–23.77 10.95–25.33 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.88 3.00–6.77 2.46–7.31 | 2.81 1.16–4.46 0.67–4.96 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.13–12.27 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.95 4.73–9.16 4.16–9.73 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.43–6.49 | 10.91 6.69–15.12 5.58–16.23 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 57.46 50.67–64.25 49.00–65.92 | 42.31 35.52–49.09 33.85–50.77 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 537 470–604 452–622 | 378 312–445 294–462 | 915 781–1049 746–1084 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.83 68.80–76.86 67.50–78.15 | 69.26 64.93–73.58 63.62–74.89 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 10.05 7.22–12.89 6.46–13.65 | 11.91 8.96–14.85 8.22–15.60 | 21.96 16.18–27.74 14.67–29.25 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 2.63 1.53–3.72 1.25–4.01 | 4.48 2.23–6.73 1.64–7.32 | 27% 18% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.70 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.99 0.73–4.37 | 3.57 2.01–5.12 1.59–5.55 | 6.12 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.