Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
28%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.072.38safe0.34–2.280.22–1.930.56–4.20safer0.09–2.530.00–2.150.08–4.68
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.423.698.11safe2.56–6.281.94–5.434.50–11.71safer2.07–6.771.48–5.903.55–12.67
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8711.2925.17safe9.95–17.807.73–14.8617.68–32.66safer8.86–18.896.77–15.8215.63–34.71
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.597.0015.58safe5.64–11.534.31–9.689.96–21.20safer4.81–12.363.58–10.418.39–22.77
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.812.856.67safe1.93–5.701.20–4.513.13–10.20safer1.39–6.240.71–5.002.10–11.24
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.713.889.58safe3.49–7.921.88–5.885.37–13.80safer2.92–8.491.34–6.414.26–14.90
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.7643.70safe48.97–62.5536.91–50.48safer47.30–64.2235.24–52.15
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction467325792safe400–535259–391659–926safer382–553241–409623–962
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction66.1665.71safe62.13–70.1961.39–70.03safer60.84–71.4960.08–71.34
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6213.9927.61safe10.78–16.4611.04–16.9321.82–33.39safer10.03–17.2110.29–17.6820.32–34.89
Offsides
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.463.68safe1.06–3.380.36–2.551.43–5.94safer0.76–3.690.08–2.840.84–6.52
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.324.41safe1.04–3.141.19–3.452.24–6.59safer0.78–3.410.90–3.741.68–7.15
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.075.61safe1.10–3.971.51–4.622.61–8.60safer0.71–4.361.09–5.051.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.15 | 2.38 0.56–4.20 0.08–4.68 | 42% 28% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.42 2.56–6.28 2.07–6.77 | 3.69 1.94–5.43 1.48–5.90 | 8.11 4.50–11.71 3.55–12.67 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.87 9.95–17.80 8.86–18.89 | 11.29 7.73–14.86 6.77–15.82 | 25.17 17.68–32.66 15.63–34.71 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.59 5.64–11.53 4.81–12.36 | 7.00 4.31–9.68 3.58–10.41 | 15.58 9.96–21.20 8.39–22.77 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.93–5.70 1.39–6.24 | 2.85 1.20–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 6.67 3.13–10.20 2.10–11.24 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.49–7.92 2.92–8.49 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.34–6.41 | 9.58 5.37–13.80 4.26–14.90 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 55.76 48.97–62.55 47.30–64.22 | 43.70 36.91–50.48 35.24–52.15 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 467 400–535 382–553 | 325 259–391 241–409 | 792 659–926 623–962 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.16 62.13–70.19 60.84–71.49 | 65.71 61.39–70.03 60.08–71.34 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 13.62 10.78–16.46 10.03–17.21 | 13.99 11.04–16.93 10.29–17.68 | 27.61 21.82–33.39 20.32–34.89 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.69 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.68 1.43–5.94 0.84–6.52 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.41 2.24–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.09–5.05 | 5.61 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.