Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
26%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.502.54safe0.07–2.010.65–2.360.72–4.36safer0.00–2.260.42–2.580.24–4.84
Shots on target
29%
13%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.674.788.45safe1.81–5.533.04–6.534.85–12.06safer1.32–6.022.58–6.993.89–13.01
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2513.9325.18safe7.32–15.1710.37–17.4917.69–32.67safer6.23–16.279.41–18.4515.64–34.72
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction6.698.8115.50safe3.74–9.636.13–11.499.87–21.12safer2.92–10.465.39–12.238.31–22.69
Blocked shots
30%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.466.11safe0.77–4.531.81–5.112.58–9.65safer0.23–5.081.32–5.611.54–10.68
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.584.999.57safe2.37–6.792.99–6.995.36–13.78safer1.79–7.372.46–7.534.25–14.89
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.3347.24safe46.54–60.1240.46–54.03safer44.87–61.7938.79–55.70
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction469394863safe402–536328–461730–997safer384–555310–478694–1033
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction67.6869.64safe63.65–71.7165.32–73.96safer62.36–73.0064.01–75.27
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0712.4526.52safe11.23–16.919.51–15.4020.74–32.30safer10.48–17.668.76–16.1419.23–33.81
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.063.94safe0.71–3.030.97–3.161.68–6.19safer0.41–3.340.68–3.441.09–6.78
Yellow cards
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.914.12safe1.16–3.260.78–3.041.94–6.30safer0.90–3.530.49–3.331.39–6.86
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
52%
17%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.555.74safe1.75–4.621.00–4.112.74–8.73safer1.36–5.010.57–4.531.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.58 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 26% 26% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.67 1.81–5.53 1.32–6.02 | 4.78 3.04–6.53 2.58–6.99 | 8.45 4.85–12.06 3.89–13.01 | 29% 13% 58% |
| Total shots | 11.25 7.32–15.17 6.23–16.27 | 13.93 10.37–17.49 9.41–18.45 | 25.18 17.69–32.67 15.64–34.72 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 6.69 3.74–9.63 2.92–10.46 | 8.81 6.13–11.49 5.39–12.23 | 15.50 9.87–21.12 8.31–22.69 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 2.65 0.77–4.53 0.23–5.08 | 3.46 1.81–5.11 1.32–5.61 | 6.11 2.58–9.65 1.54–10.68 | 30% 16% 55% |
| Corners | 4.58 2.37–6.79 1.79–7.37 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.46–7.53 | 9.57 5.36–13.78 4.25–14.89 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 53.33 46.54–60.12 44.87–61.79 | 47.24 40.46–54.03 38.79–55.70 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 469 402–536 384–555 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 863 730–997 694–1033 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.68 63.65–71.71 62.36–73.00 | 69.64 65.32–73.96 64.01–75.27 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 14.07 11.23–16.91 10.48–17.66 | 12.45 9.51–15.40 8.76–16.14 | 26.52 20.74–32.30 19.23–33.81 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.34 | 2.06 0.97–3.16 0.68–3.44 | 3.94 1.68–6.19 1.09–6.78 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.21 1.16–3.26 0.90–3.53 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 4.12 1.94–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 5.74 2.74–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 52% 17% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.