Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.132.48safe0.39–2.320.27–1.980.66–4.30safer0.13–2.570.05–2.210.18–4.78
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.193.958.14safe2.33–6.062.20–5.694.53–11.74safer1.84–6.541.74–6.153.58–12.70
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4911.1123.61safe8.57–16.427.55–14.6816.12–31.09safer7.48–17.516.59–15.6414.07–33.14
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction8.626.6415.26safe5.68–11.563.96–9.329.63–20.88safer4.85–12.393.22–10.068.07–22.45
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.467.15safe1.81–5.571.81–5.123.62–10.69safer1.26–6.121.32–5.612.58–11.72
Corners
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.394.418.80safe2.18–6.602.41–6.414.59–13.01safer1.60–7.181.88–6.943.48–14.12
Possession %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction46.8853.59safe40.09–53.6746.81–60.38safer38.42–55.3445.13–62.05
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction409454863safe341–476388–521729–997safer323–494370–538694–1032
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction66.5472.43safe62.51–70.5768.11–76.76safer61.22–71.8766.80–78.07
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0612.6224.68safe9.22–14.909.68–15.5718.90–30.46safer8.47–15.658.93–16.3117.39–31.97
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.423.52safe0.94–3.260.33–2.511.27–5.77safer0.64–3.560.04–2.800.68–6.36
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.903.83safe0.88–2.970.77–3.031.65–6.01safer0.61–3.240.48–3.321.09–6.56
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.090.22safe0.00–0.290.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.440.00–0.410.00–0.85
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.795.48safe1.26–4.131.23–4.342.49–8.47safer0.87–4.520.81–4.771.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.33–6.06 1.84–6.54 | 3.95 2.20–5.69 1.74–6.15 | 8.14 4.53–11.74 3.58–12.70 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 12.49 8.57–16.42 7.48–17.51 | 11.11 7.55–14.68 6.59–15.64 | 23.61 16.12–31.09 14.07–33.14 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.56 4.85–12.39 | 6.64 3.96–9.32 3.22–10.06 | 15.26 9.63–20.88 8.07–22.45 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.26–6.12 | 3.46 1.81–5.12 1.32–5.61 | 7.15 3.62–10.69 2.58–11.72 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 4.39 2.18–6.60 1.60–7.18 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.94 | 8.80 4.59–13.01 3.48–14.12 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Possession % | 46.88 40.09–53.67 38.42–55.34 | 53.59 46.81–60.38 45.13–62.05 | — | 32% 63% |
| Passes | 409 341–476 323–494 | 454 388–521 370–538 | 863 729–997 694–1032 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.54 62.51–70.57 61.22–71.87 | 72.43 68.11–76.76 66.80–78.07 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 12.06 9.22–14.90 8.47–15.65 | 12.62 9.68–15.57 8.93–16.31 | 24.68 18.90–30.46 17.39–31.97 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.09–6.56 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 2.79 1.23–4.34 0.81–4.77 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+