Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.023.30safe1.31–3.250.16–1.871.47–5.12safer1.06–3.500.00–2.100.99–5.60
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.563.5010.06safe4.69–8.421.76–5.256.46–13.67safer4.20–8.911.30–5.715.50–14.62
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.289.6527.94safe14.36–22.216.09–13.2120.45–35.42safer13.27–23.305.13–14.1718.40–37.47
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.406.2619.66safe10.46–16.343.58–8.9414.04–25.29safer9.63–17.172.84–9.6812.47–26.85
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.172.868.02safe3.29–7.051.20–4.514.49–11.56safer2.74–7.590.71–5.003.45–12.60
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.893.4710.36safe4.67–9.101.47–5.476.14–14.57safer4.10–9.670.94–6.015.04–15.68
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.6144.65safe48.82–62.4037.87–51.44safer47.15–64.0736.20–53.11
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction497391888safe430–564324–457754–1021safer411–582307–475718–1057
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction75.2175.35safe71.18–79.2471.02–79.67safer69.88–80.5369.71–80.98
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8911.1222.01safe8.05–13.738.18–14.0716.23–27.79safer7.30–14.487.43–14.8214.72–29.30
Offsides
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.233.90safe0.51–2.831.14–3.321.64–6.15safer0.21–3.130.85–3.611.05–6.74
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.233.69safe0.41–2.511.10–3.361.51–5.87safer0.15–2.780.81–3.650.96–6.43
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
21%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.906.28safe0.94–3.822.34–5.453.29–9.27safer0.56–4.201.92–5.882.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.28 1.31–3.25 1.06–3.50 | 1.02 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 3.30 1.47–5.12 0.99–5.60 | 66% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.56 4.69–8.42 4.20–8.91 | 3.50 1.76–5.25 1.30–5.71 | 10.06 6.46–13.67 5.50–14.62 | 79% |
| Total shots | 18.28 14.36–22.21 13.27–23.30 | 9.65 6.09–13.21 5.13–14.17 | 27.94 20.45–35.42 18.40–37.47 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 13.40 10.46–16.34 9.63–17.17 | 6.26 3.58–8.94 2.84–9.68 | 19.66 14.04–25.29 12.47–26.85 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.17 3.29–7.05 2.74–7.59 | 2.86 1.20–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 8.02 4.49–11.56 3.45–12.60 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 6.89 4.67–9.10 4.10–9.67 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.94–6.01 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 82% |
| Possession % | 55.61 48.82–62.40 47.15–64.07 | 44.65 37.87–51.44 36.20–53.11 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 497 430–564 411–582 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.21 71.18–79.24 69.88–80.53 | 75.35 71.02–79.67 69.71–80.98 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.05–13.73 7.30–14.48 | 11.12 8.18–14.07 7.43–14.82 | 22.01 16.23–27.79 14.72–29.30 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 2.23 1.14–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 3.90 1.64–6.15 1.05–6.74 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.82 0.56–4.20 | 3.90 2.34–5.45 1.92–5.88 | 6.28 3.29–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 21% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.