Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
91%
homeawaytotalprediction3.950.714.66safe2.99–4.920.00–1.562.84–6.48safer2.73–5.170.00–1.792.36–6.96
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.022.7811.79safe7.15–10.881.03–4.528.19–15.40safer6.66–11.370.57–4.987.23–16.35
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction23.166.9030.06safe19.23–27.083.34–10.4622.57–37.55safer18.14–28.172.38–11.4220.52–39.60
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.484.5820.06safe12.54–18.431.90–7.2614.44–25.68safer11.71–19.261.16–8.0012.87–27.25
Blocked shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction6.331.738.05safe4.44–8.210.07–3.384.52–11.59safer3.90–8.750.00–3.873.48–12.62
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.292.4310.72safe6.08–10.510.43–4.436.51–14.94safer5.51–11.080.00–4.965.40–16.04
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction72.0927.35safe65.30–78.8820.56–34.13safer63.63–80.5518.89–35.80
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7462881035safe679–814222–355901–1168safer661–832204–372865–1204
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction85.5768.84safe81.55–89.6064.52–73.17safer80.25–90.9063.21–74.48
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction9.109.6918.79safe6.26–11.946.75–12.6413.01–24.57safer5.51–12.696.00–13.3911.50–26.08
Offsides
41%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.773.62safe0.69–3.010.68–2.861.37–5.87safer0.39–3.310.39–3.150.78–6.46
Yellow cards
18%
23%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.851.772.61safe0.00–1.900.64–2.890.43–4.79safer0.00–2.160.35–3.190.00–5.35
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
88%
homeawaytotalprediction1.965.557.51safe0.52–3.394.00–7.114.52–10.50safer0.13–3.783.57–7.533.71–11.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.95 2.99–4.92 2.73–5.17 | 0.71 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 4.66 2.84–6.48 2.36–6.96 | 91% |
| Shots on target | 9.02 7.15–10.88 6.66–11.37 | 2.78 1.03–4.52 0.57–4.98 | 11.79 8.19–15.40 7.23–16.35 | 96% |
| Total shots | 23.16 19.23–27.08 18.14–28.17 | 6.90 3.34–10.46 2.38–11.42 | 30.06 22.57–37.55 20.52–39.60 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.48 12.54–18.43 11.71–19.26 | 4.58 1.90–7.26 1.16–8.00 | 20.06 14.44–25.68 12.87–27.25 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.33 4.44–8.21 3.90–8.75 | 1.73 0.07–3.38 0.00–3.87 | 8.05 4.52–11.59 3.48–12.62 | 93% |
| Corners | 8.29 6.08–10.51 5.51–11.08 | 2.43 0.43–4.43 0.00–4.96 | 10.72 6.51–14.94 5.40–16.04 | 96% |
| Possession % | 72.09 65.30–78.88 63.63–80.55 | 27.35 20.56–34.13 18.89–35.80 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 746 679–814 661–832 | 288 222–355 204–372 | 1035 901–1168 865–1204 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.57 81.55–89.60 80.25–90.90 | 68.84 64.52–73.17 63.21–74.48 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.10 6.26–11.94 5.51–12.69 | 9.69 6.75–12.64 6.00–13.39 | 18.79 13.01–24.57 11.50–26.08 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.77 0.68–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.62 1.37–5.87 0.78–6.46 | 41% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 0.85 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.16 | 1.77 0.64–2.89 0.35–3.19 | 2.61 0.43–4.79 0.00–5.35 | 18% 23% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.96 0.52–3.39 0.13–3.78 | 5.55 4.00–7.11 3.57–7.53 | 7.51 4.52–10.50 3.71–11.32 | 88% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+