Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.580.873.45safe1.61–3.550.02–1.731.63–5.28safer1.36–3.800.00–1.961.15–5.76
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.543.1110.65safe5.68–9.401.37–4.867.05–14.26safer5.19–9.890.90–5.326.09–15.21
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction21.939.5631.49safe18.00–25.856.00–13.1224.00–38.98safer16.91–26.945.04–14.0821.95–41.03
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.585.8419.42safe10.64–16.523.16–8.5213.80–25.04safer9.81–17.352.42–9.2612.23–26.61
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.402.357.75safe3.52–7.280.70–4.014.22–11.29safer2.97–7.820.21–4.503.18–12.32
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.213.3110.52safe5.00–9.421.31–5.316.30–14.73safer4.42–10.000.77–5.845.20–15.84
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.5939.82safe52.79–66.3833.03–46.60safer51.13–68.0431.36–48.27
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction587390977safe520–655323–456843–1110safer502–673306–473807–1146
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction79.6871.82safe75.65–83.7167.50–76.14safer74.36–85.0066.19–77.45
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8611.8823.74safe9.02–14.708.94–14.8317.96–29.52safer8.27–15.458.19–15.5716.46–31.03
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.333.48safe0.99–3.310.24–2.431.23–5.74safer0.69–3.610.00–2.710.64–6.33
Yellow cards
29%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.013.50safe0.45–2.550.88–3.141.33–5.68safer0.18–2.810.59–3.430.77–6.24
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.154.616.76safe0.71–3.583.06–6.173.77–9.75safer0.32–3.972.63–6.602.96–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.58 1.61–3.55 1.36–3.80 | 0.87 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.45 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 74% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.54 5.68–9.40 5.19–9.89 | 3.11 1.37–4.86 0.90–5.32 | 10.65 7.05–14.26 6.09–15.21 | 89% |
| Total shots | 21.93 18.00–25.85 16.91–26.94 | 9.56 6.00–13.12 5.04–14.08 | 31.49 24.00–38.98 21.95–41.03 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.58 10.64–16.52 9.81–17.35 | 5.84 3.16–8.52 2.42–9.26 | 19.42 13.80–25.04 12.23–26.61 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.40 3.52–7.28 2.97–7.82 | 2.35 0.70–4.01 0.21–4.50 | 7.75 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.32 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.21 5.00–9.42 4.42–10.00 | 3.31 1.31–5.31 0.77–5.84 | 10.52 6.30–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 86% |
| Possession % | 59.59 52.79–66.38 51.13–68.04 | 39.82 33.03–46.60 31.36–48.27 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 587 520–655 502–673 | 390 323–456 306–473 | 977 843–1110 807–1146 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.68 75.65–83.71 74.36–85.00 | 71.82 67.50–76.14 66.19–77.45 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.02–14.70 8.27–15.45 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.57 | 23.74 17.96–29.52 16.46–31.03 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.33 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.71 | 3.48 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.50 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 29% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.71–3.58 0.32–3.97 | 4.61 3.06–6.17 2.63–6.60 | 6.76 3.77–9.75 2.96–10.57 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.