Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.583.45safe0.90–2.840.72–2.431.63–5.27safer0.65–3.090.50–2.661.15–5.75
Shots on target
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.425.3210.74safe3.56–7.293.58–7.067.14–14.35safer3.07–7.783.11–7.536.18–15.30
Total shots
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0814.4929.57safe11.15–19.0010.93–18.0522.08–37.06safer10.06–20.099.97–19.0120.03–39.11
Shots in box
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction10.869.5920.46safe7.92–13.816.91–12.2714.83–26.08safer7.09–14.646.18–13.0113.27–27.65
Blocked shots
41%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.914.017.91safe2.02–5.792.35–5.664.38–11.45safer1.48–6.331.86–6.153.34–12.48
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.764.9210.68safe3.55–7.972.92–6.926.47–14.89safer2.97–8.552.39–7.455.36–16.00
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction55.0846.50safe48.29–61.8739.71–53.28safer46.62–63.5438.04–54.95
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction466391857safe399–533324–457723–990safer380–551307–475687–1026
Pass accuracy %
45%
49%
homeawayprediction71.5471.94safe67.52–75.5767.62–76.26safer66.22–76.8766.31–77.57
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5914.0825.66safe8.75–14.4211.13–17.0219.88–31.45safer7.99–15.1810.38–17.7718.38–32.95
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.473.07safe0.44–2.760.38–2.560.82–5.32safer0.14–3.060.09–2.850.23–5.91
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.404.25safe0.80–2.901.27–3.532.07–6.43safer0.53–3.160.98–3.821.52–6.99
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
44%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.543.406.94safe2.10–4.971.85–4.963.95–9.93safer1.71–5.361.42–5.383.13–10.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 1.58 0.72–2.43 0.50–2.66 | 3.45 1.63–5.27 1.15–5.75 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.42 3.56–7.29 3.07–7.78 | 5.32 3.58–7.06 3.11–7.53 | 10.74 7.14–14.35 6.18–15.30 | 45% 43% |
| Total shots | 15.08 11.15–19.00 10.06–20.09 | 14.49 10.93–18.05 9.97–19.01 | 29.57 22.08–37.06 20.03–39.11 | 51% 42% |
| Shots in box | 10.86 7.92–13.81 7.09–14.64 | 9.59 6.91–12.27 6.18–13.01 | 20.46 14.83–26.08 13.27–27.65 | 57% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.02–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 4.01 2.35–5.66 1.86–6.15 | 7.91 4.38–11.45 3.34–12.48 | 41% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.55–7.97 2.97–8.55 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.39–7.45 | 10.68 6.47–14.89 5.36–16.00 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 55.08 48.29–61.87 46.62–63.54 | 46.50 39.71–53.28 38.04–54.95 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 466 399–533 380–551 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 857 723–990 687–1026 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.54 67.52–75.57 66.22–76.87 | 71.94 67.62–76.26 66.31–77.57 | — | 45% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.59 8.75–14.42 7.99–15.18 | 14.08 11.13–17.02 10.38–17.77 | 25.66 19.88–31.45 18.38–32.95 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.07 0.82–5.32 0.23–5.91 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.54 2.10–4.97 1.71–5.36 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 6.94 3.95–9.93 3.13–10.74 | 44% 15% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.