Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.732.91safe0.21–2.140.88–2.591.08–4.73safer0.00–2.400.65–2.810.61–5.21
Shots on target
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.875.139.00safe2.01–5.733.39–6.875.39–12.60safer1.52–6.222.92–7.344.44–13.56
Total shots
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1114.9927.10safe8.19–16.0411.43–18.5519.61–34.59safer7.10–17.1310.47–19.5117.56–36.64
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9210.7517.67safe3.98–9.878.07–13.4312.05–23.30safer3.15–10.707.33–14.1710.48–24.86
Blocked shots
30%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.514.528.03safe1.63–5.392.86–6.174.49–11.56safer1.08–5.932.37–6.663.45–12.60
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.725.5710.30safe2.51–6.943.57–7.576.08–14.51safer1.94–7.513.04–8.104.97–15.62
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction49.1552.64safe42.36–55.9445.85–59.42safer40.69–57.6144.18–61.09
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction415431847safe348–482365–498713–980safer330–501347–515677–1016
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction61.8771.98safe57.84–65.9067.65–76.30safer56.55–67.1966.34–77.61
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8311.5722.40safe8.00–13.678.63–14.5116.62–28.19safer7.24–14.437.88–15.2615.12–29.69
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.993.67safe0.52–2.840.90–3.091.42–5.93safer0.22–3.140.61–3.380.83–6.52
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.773.33safe0.51–2.610.64–2.901.15–5.51safer0.24–2.870.35–3.190.59–6.06
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
50%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.786.11safe1.89–4.761.23–4.343.12–9.10safer1.50–5.150.80–4.762.31–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.14 0.00–2.40 | 1.73 0.88–2.59 0.65–2.81 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.87 2.01–5.73 1.52–6.22 | 5.13 3.39–6.87 2.92–7.34 | 9.00 5.39–12.60 4.44–13.56 | 28% 60% |
| Total shots | 12.11 8.19–16.04 7.10–17.13 | 14.99 11.43–18.55 10.47–19.51 | 27.10 19.61–34.59 17.56–36.64 | 26% 68% |
| Shots in box | 6.92 3.98–9.87 3.15–10.70 | 10.75 8.07–13.43 7.33–14.17 | 17.67 12.05–23.30 10.48–24.86 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 4.52 2.86–6.17 2.37–6.66 | 8.03 4.49–11.56 3.45–12.60 | 30% 13% 57% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 5.57 3.57–7.57 3.04–8.10 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.62 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 49.15 42.36–55.94 40.69–57.61 | 52.64 45.85–59.42 44.18–61.09 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 415 348–482 330–501 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 847 713–980 677–1016 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.87 57.84–65.90 56.55–67.19 | 71.98 67.65–76.30 66.34–77.61 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.83 8.00–13.67 7.24–14.43 | 11.57 8.63–14.51 7.88–15.26 | 22.40 16.62–28.19 15.12–29.69 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.38 | 3.67 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.06 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.78 1.23–4.34 0.80–4.76 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.31–9.91 | 50% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.