Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
18%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.192.443.62safe0.22–2.161.58–3.291.80–5.45safer0.00–2.411.35–3.521.32–5.93
Shots on target
15%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.127.0711.19safe2.26–5.995.32–8.817.58–14.79safer1.77–6.484.86–9.276.63–15.75
Total shots
14%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4017.9330.33safe8.47–16.3214.37–21.4922.84–37.81safer7.38–17.4113.41–22.4520.79–39.86
Shots in box
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4112.4720.88safe5.47–11.369.79–15.1515.26–26.51safer4.64–12.199.05–15.8913.69–28.07
Blocked shots
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.155.008.15safe1.26–5.033.35–6.654.61–11.68safer0.72–5.572.85–7.153.57–12.72
Corners
21%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.526.7511.28safe2.31–6.744.75–8.757.06–15.49safer1.74–7.314.22–9.285.95–16.60
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.7161.10safe32.92–46.5054.31–67.88safer31.25–48.1752.64–69.55
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction346540886safe279–413473–606752–1019safer261–431456–624716–1055
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction63.9577.18safe59.93–67.9872.85–81.50safer58.63–69.2871.55–82.81
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3810.1022.48safe9.54–15.217.16–13.0516.70–28.26safer8.78–15.976.41–13.8015.19–29.76
Offsides
63%
16%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.931.694.62safe1.77–4.090.59–2.782.36–6.87safer1.47–4.390.30–3.071.77–7.46
Yellow cards
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.693.87safe1.13–3.230.56–2.821.69–6.04safer0.86–3.500.27–3.111.13–6.60
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
63%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.786.97safe2.75–5.621.22–4.343.97–9.96safer2.36–6.010.80–4.763.16–10.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 2.44 1.58–3.29 1.35–3.52 | 3.62 1.80–5.45 1.32–5.93 | 17% 18% 65% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.99 1.77–6.48 | 7.07 5.32–8.81 4.86–9.27 | 11.19 7.58–14.79 6.63–15.75 | 15% 77% |
| Total shots | 12.40 8.47–16.32 7.38–17.41 | 17.93 14.37–21.49 13.41–22.45 | 30.33 22.84–37.81 20.79–39.86 | 14% 82% |
| Shots in box | 8.41 5.47–11.36 4.64–12.19 | 12.47 9.79–15.15 9.05–15.89 | 20.88 15.26–26.51 13.69–28.07 | 16% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 5.00 3.35–6.65 2.85–7.15 | 8.15 4.61–11.68 3.57–12.72 | 20% 68% |
| Corners | 4.52 2.31–6.74 1.74–7.31 | 6.75 4.75–8.75 4.22–9.28 | 11.28 7.06–15.49 5.95–16.60 | 21% 70% |
| Possession % | 39.71 32.92–46.50 31.25–48.17 | 61.10 54.31–67.88 52.64–69.55 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 346 279–413 261–431 | 540 473–606 456–624 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.95 59.93–67.98 58.63–69.28 | 77.18 72.85–81.50 71.55–82.81 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.38 9.54–15.21 8.78–15.97 | 10.10 7.16–13.05 6.41–13.80 | 22.48 16.70–28.26 15.19–29.76 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 2.93 1.77–4.09 1.47–4.39 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.07 | 4.62 2.36–6.87 1.77–7.46 | 63% 16% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.50 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.87 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.19 2.75–5.62 2.36–6.01 | 2.78 1.22–4.34 0.80–4.76 | 6.97 3.97–9.96 3.16–10.77 | 63% 13% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.