Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
18%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.062.443.51safe0.10–2.031.59–3.301.68–5.33safer0.00–2.281.36–3.531.21–5.81
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.536.7610.29safe1.67–5.395.02–8.506.68–13.89safer1.18–5.884.55–8.975.73–14.85
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2316.9427.18safe6.31–14.1613.38–20.5119.69–34.67safer5.22–15.2512.42–21.4717.64–36.72
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3511.7818.12safe3.40–9.299.09–14.4612.50–23.74safer2.57–10.128.36–15.1910.93–25.31
Blocked shots
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.914.977.88safe1.03–4.793.32–6.634.35–11.42safer0.48–5.342.83–7.123.31–12.45
Corners
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.016.0910.10safe1.80–6.224.09–8.095.89–14.32safer1.22–6.803.56–8.634.78–15.42
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.2960.13safe33.50–47.0853.35–66.92safer31.83–48.7551.68–68.59
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction382565947safe314–449499–632813–1081safer296–467481–649778–1116
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.2677.22safe61.23–69.2972.90–81.55safer59.94–70.5871.59–82.85
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8410.9922.83safe9.00–14.688.04–13.9317.04–28.61safer8.25–15.437.29–14.6815.54–30.11
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.603.68safe0.92–3.250.50–2.691.43–5.94safer0.62–3.550.22–2.980.84–6.52
Yellow cards
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.543.35safe0.75–2.850.41–2.671.17–5.52safer0.49–3.120.12–2.960.61–6.08
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
65%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.092.566.65safe2.66–5.531.00–4.123.66–9.65safer2.27–5.920.58–4.542.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 2.44 1.59–3.30 1.36–3.53 | 3.51 1.68–5.33 1.21–5.81 | 15% 18% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.53 1.67–5.39 1.18–5.88 | 6.76 5.02–8.50 4.55–8.97 | 10.29 6.68–13.89 5.73–14.85 | 80% |
| Total shots | 10.23 6.31–14.16 5.22–15.25 | 16.94 13.38–20.51 12.42–21.47 | 27.18 19.69–34.67 17.64–36.72 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 6.35 3.40–9.29 2.57–10.12 | 11.78 9.09–14.46 8.36–15.19 | 18.12 12.50–23.74 10.93–25.31 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.91 1.03–4.79 0.48–5.34 | 4.97 3.32–6.63 2.83–7.12 | 7.88 4.35–11.42 3.31–12.45 | 18% 71% |
| Corners | 4.01 1.80–6.22 1.22–6.80 | 6.09 4.09–8.09 3.56–8.63 | 10.10 5.89–14.32 4.78–15.42 | 21% 69% |
| Possession % | 40.29 33.50–47.08 31.83–48.75 | 60.13 53.35–66.92 51.68–68.59 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 382 314–449 296–467 | 565 499–632 481–649 | 947 813–1081 778–1116 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.26 61.23–69.29 59.94–70.58 | 77.22 72.90–81.55 71.59–82.85 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.84 9.00–14.68 8.25–15.43 | 10.99 8.04–13.93 7.29–14.68 | 22.83 17.04–28.61 15.54–30.11 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.25 0.62–3.55 | 1.60 0.50–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.68 1.43–5.94 0.84–6.52 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 3.35 1.17–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 4.09 2.66–5.53 2.27–5.92 | 2.56 1.00–4.12 0.58–4.54 | 6.65 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 65% 13% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.