Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.023.01safe1.02–2.950.17–1.881.18–4.83safer0.77–3.210.00–2.100.71–5.31
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.729.63safe4.04–7.771.98–5.476.03–13.24safer3.55–8.261.52–5.935.07–14.19
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3311.0428.37safe13.41–21.267.48–14.6020.89–35.86safer12.32–22.356.52–15.5618.84–37.91
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.887.1619.04safe8.93–14.824.48–9.8413.41–24.66safer8.10–15.653.74–10.5811.85–26.23
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.947.53safe2.71–6.471.28–4.593.99–11.06safer2.16–7.020.79–5.082.96–12.10
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.9210.17safe4.04–8.461.92–5.925.95–14.38safer3.46–9.041.38–6.454.85–15.49
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.1940.69safe52.40–65.9833.90–47.47safer50.73–67.6532.23–49.15
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction561371932safe494–629304–437798–1066safer476–647287–455763–1101
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction74.0869.54safe70.05–78.1165.22–73.87safer68.76–79.4063.91–75.18
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3710.9723.34safe9.54–15.218.02–13.9117.56–29.12safer8.78–15.977.27–14.6616.05–30.63
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.523.14safe0.45–2.770.43–2.620.88–5.39safer0.15–3.080.14–2.900.29–5.98
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.923.44safe0.47–2.570.79–3.051.26–5.62safer0.21–2.840.50–3.340.71–6.18
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
25%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.786.35safe1.14–4.012.22–5.333.36–9.35safer0.75–4.401.80–5.762.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.95 0.77–3.21 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 3.01 1.18–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.91 4.04–7.77 3.55–8.26 | 3.72 1.98–5.47 1.52–5.93 | 9.63 6.03–13.24 5.07–14.19 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.33 13.41–21.26 12.32–22.35 | 11.04 7.48–14.60 6.52–15.56 | 28.37 20.89–35.86 18.84–37.91 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.88 8.93–14.82 8.10–15.65 | 7.16 4.48–9.84 3.74–10.58 | 19.04 13.41–24.66 11.85–26.23 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.02 | 2.94 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.96–12.10 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.04–8.46 3.46–9.04 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.38–6.45 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 59.19 52.40–65.98 50.73–67.65 | 40.69 33.90–47.47 32.23–49.15 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 561 494–629 476–647 | 371 304–437 287–455 | 932 798–1066 763–1101 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.08 70.05–78.11 68.76–79.40 | 69.54 65.22–73.87 63.91–75.18 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 12.37 9.54–15.21 8.78–15.97 | 10.97 8.02–13.91 7.27–14.66 | 23.34 17.56–29.12 16.05–30.63 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.08 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.90 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.78 2.22–5.33 1.80–5.76 | 6.35 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 25% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.