Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.263.56safe0.33–2.271.40–3.111.74–5.38safer0.08–2.521.17–3.341.26–5.86
Shots on target
24%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.276.0610.32safe2.40–6.134.32–7.806.72–13.93safer1.91–6.623.85–8.275.76–14.89
Total shots
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8916.1329.01safe8.96–16.8112.56–19.6921.52–36.50safer7.87–17.9011.60–20.6519.47–38.55
Shots in box
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6811.2419.92safe5.74–11.638.56–13.9214.30–25.55safer4.91–12.467.82–14.6612.73–27.11
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.924.358.26safe2.03–5.802.69–6.004.73–11.80safer1.49–6.342.20–6.493.69–12.83
Corners
29%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.766.0910.85safe2.55–6.974.09–8.096.63–15.06safer1.97–7.553.56–8.625.53–16.17
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.9661.76safe32.17–45.7554.97–68.54safer30.50–47.4253.30–70.22
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction368576944safe301–436509–642810–1078safer283–454492–660775–1113
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction60.0776.27safe56.04–64.1071.94–80.59safer54.75–65.3970.63–81.90
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2510.9422.18safe8.41–14.097.99–13.8816.40–27.97safer7.66–14.847.24–14.6314.90–29.47
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.213.72safe0.34–2.671.12–3.301.46–5.97safer0.04–2.970.83–3.590.87–6.56
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.893.63safe0.69–2.790.76–3.011.45–5.81safer0.43–3.060.47–3.310.89–6.36
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.806.78safe2.54–5.411.24–4.363.78–9.77safer2.15–5.800.82–4.782.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 2.26 1.40–3.11 1.17–3.34 | 3.56 1.74–5.38 1.26–5.86 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.40–6.13 1.91–6.62 | 6.06 4.32–7.80 3.85–8.27 | 10.32 6.72–13.93 5.76–14.89 | 24% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.89 8.96–16.81 7.87–17.90 | 16.13 12.56–19.69 11.60–20.65 | 29.01 21.52–36.50 19.47–38.55 | 24% 69% |
| Shots in box | 8.68 5.74–11.63 4.91–12.46 | 11.24 8.56–13.92 7.82–14.66 | 19.92 14.30–25.55 12.73–27.11 | 25% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 4.35 2.69–6.00 2.20–6.49 | 8.26 4.73–11.80 3.69–12.83 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.76 2.55–6.97 1.97–7.55 | 6.09 4.09–8.09 3.56–8.62 | 10.85 6.63–15.06 5.53–16.17 | 29% 60% |
| Possession % | 38.96 32.17–45.75 30.50–47.42 | 61.76 54.97–68.54 53.30–70.22 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 368 301–436 283–454 | 576 509–642 492–660 | 944 810–1078 775–1113 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.07 56.04–64.10 54.75–65.39 | 76.27 71.94–80.59 70.63–81.90 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.25 8.41–14.09 7.66–14.84 | 10.94 7.99–13.88 7.24–14.63 | 22.18 16.40–27.97 14.90–29.47 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.34–2.67 0.04–2.97 | 2.21 1.12–3.30 0.83–3.59 | 3.72 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.47–3.31 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.36 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.98 2.54–5.41 2.15–5.80 | 2.80 1.24–4.36 0.82–4.78 | 6.78 3.78–9.77 2.97–10.58 | 60% 14% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.