Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.023.35safe0.37–2.301.16–2.871.53–5.17safer0.12–2.550.93–3.101.05–5.65
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.326.0310.35safe2.46–6.194.28–7.776.75–13.96safer1.97–6.683.82–8.235.79–14.91
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2715.8629.12safe9.34–17.1912.29–19.4221.63–36.61safer8.25–18.2811.33–20.3819.58–38.66
Shots in box
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5810.5319.11safe5.64–11.527.84–13.2113.48–24.73safer4.81–12.357.11–13.9411.92–26.30
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.844.388.22safe1.96–5.722.72–6.034.68–11.75safer1.41–6.272.23–6.523.65–12.79
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.459.93safe2.27–6.703.45–7.455.72–14.15safer1.70–7.272.91–7.984.61–15.25
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.3249.43safe44.53–58.1142.65–56.22safer42.86–59.7840.97–57.89
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction476453929safe408–543387–519795–1062safer390–561369–537759–1098
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction71.5674.82safe67.53–75.5970.49–79.14safer66.24–76.8869.18–80.45
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4510.3721.82safe8.61–14.297.42–13.3116.03–27.60safer7.86–15.046.67–14.0614.53–29.10
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.073.60safe0.37–2.690.98–3.161.35–5.85safer0.07–2.990.69–3.450.76–6.44
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.723.32safe0.55–2.650.59–2.851.14–5.50safer0.29–2.920.30–3.140.59–6.06
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
51%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.006.59safe2.15–5.021.45–4.563.60–9.58safer1.76–5.411.02–4.982.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.30 0.12–2.55 | 2.02 1.16–2.87 0.93–3.10 | 3.35 1.53–5.17 1.05–5.65 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 6.03 4.28–7.77 3.82–8.23 | 10.35 6.75–13.96 5.79–14.91 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 13.27 9.34–17.19 8.25–18.28 | 15.86 12.29–19.42 11.33–20.38 | 29.12 21.63–36.61 19.58–38.66 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 8.58 5.64–11.52 4.81–12.35 | 10.53 7.84–13.21 7.11–13.94 | 19.11 13.48–24.73 11.92–26.30 | 29% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.41–6.27 | 4.38 2.72–6.03 2.23–6.52 | 8.22 4.68–11.75 3.65–12.79 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.27–6.70 1.70–7.27 | 5.45 3.45–7.45 2.91–7.98 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.25 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 51.32 44.53–58.11 42.86–59.78 | 49.43 42.65–56.22 40.97–57.89 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 476 408–543 390–561 | 453 387–519 369–537 | 929 795–1062 759–1098 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.56 67.53–75.59 66.24–76.88 | 74.82 70.49–79.14 69.18–80.45 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.61–14.29 7.86–15.04 | 10.37 7.42–13.31 6.67–14.06 | 21.82 16.03–27.60 14.53–29.10 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 2.07 0.98–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.59 2.15–5.02 1.76–5.41 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 51% 15% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+