Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.262.83safe0.60–2.540.41–2.121.01–4.65safer0.35–2.790.18–2.350.53–5.13
Shots on target
44%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.634.579.20safe2.77–6.502.82–6.315.60–12.81safer2.28–6.992.36–6.784.64–13.76
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8111.8824.69safe8.88–16.738.32–15.4417.20–32.18safer7.79–17.827.36–16.4015.15–34.23
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.217.5616.78safe6.27–12.164.88–10.2411.15–22.40safer5.44–12.994.14–10.989.59–23.97
Blocked shots
53%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.893.207.09safe2.00–5.771.55–4.863.56–10.63safer1.46–6.311.06–5.352.52–11.66
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.289.57safe3.08–7.502.28–6.285.35–13.78safer2.50–8.081.75–6.814.25–14.89
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.2350.16safe43.44–57.0243.37–56.94safer41.77–58.6941.70–58.61
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction469476945safe402–536409–542811–1079safer384–555392–560776–1115
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction74.3977.42safe70.36–78.4273.10–81.75safer69.07–79.7171.79–83.05
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8210.9322.75safe8.98–14.667.99–13.8816.97–28.53safer8.23–15.417.24–14.6315.46–30.04
Offsides
31%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.274.09safe0.66–2.981.18–3.361.84–6.34safer0.36–3.280.89–3.651.25–6.93
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.183.92safe0.68–2.781.06–3.311.74–6.09safer0.42–3.050.76–3.601.18–6.65
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.812.975.78safe1.37–4.241.41–4.522.78–8.77safer0.98–4.630.99–4.951.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.77–6.50 2.28–6.99 | 4.57 2.82–6.31 2.36–6.78 | 9.20 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.76 | 44% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.81 8.88–16.73 7.79–17.82 | 11.88 8.32–15.44 7.36–16.40 | 24.69 17.20–32.18 15.15–34.23 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 9.21 6.27–12.16 5.44–12.99 | 7.56 4.88–10.24 4.14–10.98 | 16.78 11.15–22.40 9.59–23.97 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 3.20 1.55–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 7.09 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.66 | 53% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.08–7.50 2.50–8.08 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.75–6.81 | 9.57 5.35–13.78 4.25–14.89 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 50.23 43.44–57.02 41.77–58.69 | 50.16 43.37–56.94 41.70–58.61 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 469 402–536 384–555 | 476 409–542 392–560 | 945 811–1079 776–1115 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.39 70.36–78.42 69.07–79.71 | 77.42 73.10–81.75 71.79–83.05 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 11.82 8.98–14.66 8.23–15.41 | 10.93 7.99–13.88 7.24–14.63 | 22.75 16.97–28.53 15.46–30.04 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 2.27 1.18–3.36 0.89–3.65 | 4.09 1.84–6.34 1.25–6.93 | 31% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.18 1.06–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.92 1.74–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 2.97 1.41–4.52 0.99–4.95 | 5.78 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.