Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
20%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.283.53safe1.28–3.210.43–2.141.71–5.35safer1.03–3.460.20–2.371.23–5.83
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.614.1710.78safe4.74–8.472.43–5.927.17–14.38safer4.25–8.961.97–6.386.22–15.34
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction18.6211.5630.18safe14.70–22.558.00–15.1222.69–37.67safer13.61–23.647.04–16.0820.64–39.72
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction12.898.3221.21safe9.95–15.835.64–11.0015.59–26.84safer9.12–16.664.90–11.7414.02–28.40
Blocked shots
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.913.968.87safe3.02–6.792.31–5.625.34–12.41safer2.48–7.331.82–6.114.30–13.44
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.754.1210.87safe4.53–8.962.12–6.126.65–15.08safer3.96–9.531.59–6.655.55–16.19
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.8744.30safe49.08–62.6637.51–51.08safer47.41–64.3335.84–52.76
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction517404921safe450–584338–471788–1055safer432–602320–488752–1091
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction72.2474.00safe68.21–76.2769.68–78.32safer66.92–77.5668.37–79.63
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9612.3523.31safe8.12–13.799.41–15.3017.53–29.09safer7.36–14.558.66–16.0516.02–30.60
Offsides
39%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.603.25safe0.49–2.810.51–2.690.99–5.50safer0.18–3.110.22–2.980.40–6.09
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.033.54safe0.45–2.550.91–3.161.36–5.71safer0.19–2.820.61–3.450.80–6.27
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
23%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.664.086.74safe1.23–4.102.52–5.643.75–9.74safer0.84–4.492.10–6.062.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.25 1.28–3.21 1.03–3.46 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 3.53 1.71–5.35 1.23–5.83 | 59% 20% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.61 4.74–8.47 4.25–8.96 | 4.17 2.43–5.92 1.97–6.38 | 10.78 7.17–14.38 6.22–15.34 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 18.62 14.70–22.55 13.61–23.64 | 11.56 8.00–15.12 7.04–16.08 | 30.18 22.69–37.67 20.64–39.72 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 12.89 9.95–15.83 9.12–16.66 | 8.32 5.64–11.00 4.90–11.74 | 21.21 15.59–26.84 14.02–28.40 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.91 3.02–6.79 2.48–7.33 | 3.96 2.31–5.62 1.82–6.11 | 8.87 5.34–12.41 4.30–13.44 | 56% 31% |
| Corners | 6.75 4.53–8.96 3.96–9.53 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.59–6.65 | 10.87 6.65–15.08 5.55–16.19 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 55.87 49.08–62.66 47.41–64.33 | 44.30 37.51–51.08 35.84–52.76 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–602 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.24 68.21–76.27 66.92–77.56 | 74.00 69.68–78.32 68.37–79.63 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 10.96 8.12–13.79 7.36–14.55 | 12.35 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.05 | 23.31 17.53–29.09 16.02–30.60 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.18–3.11 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.25 0.99–5.50 0.40–6.09 | 39% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.03 0.91–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.54 1.36–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 4.08 2.52–5.64 2.10–6.06 | 6.74 3.75–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 23% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.