Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.173.25safe1.12–3.050.31–2.021.43–5.07safer0.87–3.300.08–2.250.95–5.55
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.1410.29safe4.30–8.022.39–5.886.69–13.90safer3.81–8.511.93–6.345.73–14.86
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction19.7310.7330.46safe15.80–23.657.17–14.3022.97–37.95safer14.71–24.746.21–15.2620.92–40.00
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction13.627.0520.67safe10.68–16.564.37–9.7315.04–26.29safer9.85–17.393.63–10.4713.48–27.86
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.763.158.91safe3.88–7.651.50–4.805.38–12.45safer3.34–8.191.01–5.304.34–13.48
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.634.0010.64safe4.42–8.852.00–6.006.42–14.85safer3.85–9.421.47–6.545.32–15.96
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction56.9642.31safe50.17–63.7535.52–49.09safer48.50–65.4233.85–50.76
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction496370866safe429–563304–437733–1000safer411–581286–454697–1036
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction72.4165.91safe68.38–76.4461.58–70.23safer67.08–77.7360.27–71.54
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8811.4523.33safe9.05–14.728.51–14.4017.55–29.11safer8.29–15.487.76–15.1416.05–30.62
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.423.44safe0.87–3.190.32–2.511.19–5.70safer0.56–3.490.04–2.800.60–6.29
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.063.60safe0.49–2.590.93–3.191.42–5.78safer0.23–2.860.64–3.480.87–6.34
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.584.587.16safe1.15–4.023.02–6.144.17–10.16safer0.76–4.412.60–6.563.36–10.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.05 0.87–3.30 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.16 4.30–8.02 3.81–8.51 | 4.14 2.39–5.88 1.93–6.34 | 10.29 6.69–13.90 5.73–14.86 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 19.73 15.80–23.65 14.71–24.74 | 10.73 7.17–14.30 6.21–15.26 | 30.46 22.97–37.95 20.92–40.00 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 13.62 10.68–16.56 9.85–17.39 | 7.05 4.37–9.73 3.63–10.47 | 20.67 15.04–26.29 13.48–27.86 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.76 3.88–7.65 3.34–8.19 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.01–5.30 | 8.91 5.38–12.45 4.34–13.48 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.63 4.42–8.85 3.85–9.42 | 4.00 2.00–6.00 1.47–6.54 | 10.64 6.42–14.85 5.32–15.96 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 56.96 50.17–63.75 48.50–65.42 | 42.31 35.52–49.09 33.85–50.76 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 496 429–563 411–581 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 866 733–1000 697–1036 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.41 68.38–76.44 67.08–77.73 | 65.91 61.58–70.23 60.27–71.54 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 11.88 9.05–14.72 8.29–15.48 | 11.45 8.51–14.40 7.76–15.14 | 23.33 17.55–29.11 16.05–30.62 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.56–3.49 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.44 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 4.58 3.02–6.14 2.60–6.56 | 7.16 4.17–10.16 3.36–10.97 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+