Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.293.14safe0.89–2.820.43–2.141.32–4.97safer0.64–3.080.20–2.370.84–5.45
Shots on target
67%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.004.1310.14safe4.14–7.872.39–5.886.53–13.74safer3.65–8.361.93–6.345.58–14.70
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6011.8828.48safe12.68–20.528.32–15.4420.99–35.97safer11.58–21.627.36–16.4018.94–38.02
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction11.377.9319.30safe8.43–14.315.25–10.6113.68–24.92safer7.60–15.144.51–11.3512.11–26.49
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.303.728.02safe2.41–6.182.07–5.384.48–11.55safer1.87–6.721.58–5.873.45–12.59
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.834.5510.38safe3.62–8.052.55–6.556.17–14.59safer3.05–8.622.01–7.085.06–15.70
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction48.7851.15safe41.99–55.5744.36–57.93safer40.32–57.2442.69–59.60
Passes
42%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction450473923safe383–517406–539789–1056safer364–535389–557753–1092
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction73.1376.57safe69.10–77.1572.25–80.90safer67.80–78.4570.94–82.21
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9212.0422.96safe8.09–13.769.09–14.9817.18–28.74safer7.33–14.528.35–15.7315.67–30.25
Offsides
67%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.771.344.10safe1.61–3.930.24–2.431.85–6.36safer1.31–4.230.00–2.721.26–6.95
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.193.73safe0.49–2.591.07–3.321.55–5.91safer0.22–2.850.77–3.611.00–6.47
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.806.70safe1.47–4.342.24–5.353.71–9.70safer1.08–4.731.82–5.782.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.82 0.64–3.08 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 6.00 4.14–7.87 3.65–8.36 | 4.13 2.39–5.88 1.93–6.34 | 10.14 6.53–13.74 5.58–14.70 | 67% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.60 12.68–20.52 11.58–21.62 | 11.88 8.32–15.44 7.36–16.40 | 28.48 20.99–35.97 18.94–38.02 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 11.37 8.43–14.31 7.60–15.14 | 7.93 5.25–10.61 4.51–11.35 | 19.30 13.68–24.92 12.11–26.49 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.41–6.18 1.87–6.72 | 3.72 2.07–5.38 1.58–5.87 | 8.02 4.48–11.55 3.45–12.59 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.01–7.08 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 48.78 41.99–55.57 40.32–57.24 | 51.15 44.36–57.93 42.69–59.60 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 450 383–517 364–535 | 473 406–539 389–557 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 42% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.13 69.10–77.15 67.80–78.45 | 76.57 72.25–80.90 70.94–82.21 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 10.92 8.09–13.76 7.33–14.52 | 12.04 9.09–14.98 8.35–15.73 | 22.96 17.18–28.74 15.67–30.25 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.77 1.61–3.93 1.31–4.23 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 4.10 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.95 | 67% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 2.19 1.07–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 3.80 2.24–5.35 1.82–5.78 | 6.70 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.