Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.170.863.04safe1.21–3.140.01–1.721.21–4.86safer0.95–3.390.00–1.940.73–5.34
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.229.01safe3.92–7.651.48–4.975.41–12.62safer3.44–8.141.02–5.434.45–13.57
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.229.6926.91safe13.30–21.156.12–13.2519.42–34.39safer12.21–22.245.16–14.2117.37–36.44
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.026.3618.39safe9.08–14.973.68–9.0412.76–24.01safer8.25–15.802.94–9.7811.20–25.58
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.822.667.48safe2.94–6.711.01–4.313.95–11.02safer2.40–7.250.52–4.812.91–12.06
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.833.7110.53safe4.62–9.041.71–5.716.32–14.75safer4.04–9.621.17–6.245.21–15.85
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.7845.26safe48.99–62.5738.48–52.05safer47.32–64.2436.81–53.72
Passes
76%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction482395876safe414–549328–461743–1010safer396–567311–479707–1046
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction71.1166.56safe67.08–75.1462.24–70.89safer65.79–76.4360.93–72.20
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0212.0023.02safe8.18–13.869.05–14.9417.23–28.80safer7.42–14.618.31–15.6915.73–30.30
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.573.36safe0.62–2.940.48–2.671.10–5.61safer0.32–3.240.19–2.960.51–6.20
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.373.77safe0.35–2.451.24–3.491.59–5.95safer0.09–2.720.95–3.791.03–6.50
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.283.605.88safe0.84–3.712.04–5.152.89–8.87safer0.45–4.101.62–5.582.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.21–3.14 0.95–3.39 | 0.86 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.94 | 3.04 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.34 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.79 3.92–7.65 3.44–8.14 | 3.22 1.48–4.97 1.02–5.43 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.57 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.22 13.30–21.15 12.21–22.24 | 9.69 6.12–13.25 5.16–14.21 | 26.91 19.42–34.39 17.37–36.44 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 12.02 9.08–14.97 8.25–15.80 | 6.36 3.68–9.04 2.94–9.78 | 18.39 12.76–24.01 11.20–25.58 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.82 2.94–6.71 2.40–7.25 | 2.66 1.01–4.31 0.52–4.81 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.06 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.83 4.62–9.04 4.04–9.62 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.17–6.24 | 10.53 6.32–14.75 5.21–15.85 | 79% |
| Possession % | 55.78 48.99–62.57 47.32–64.24 | 45.26 38.48–52.05 36.81–53.72 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 482 414–549 396–567 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 876 743–1010 707–1046 | 76% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.11 67.08–75.14 65.79–76.43 | 66.56 62.24–70.89 60.93–72.20 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 11.02 8.18–13.86 7.42–14.61 | 12.00 9.05–14.94 8.31–15.69 | 23.02 17.23–28.80 15.73–30.30 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.96 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 2.37 1.24–3.49 0.95–3.79 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.50 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 3.60 2.04–5.15 1.62–5.58 | 5.88 2.89–8.87 2.07–9.68 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+