Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.723.133.86safe0.00–1.692.28–3.992.04–5.68safer0.00–1.942.05–4.221.56–6.16
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction2.407.7210.12safe0.53–4.265.98–9.466.51–13.72safer0.04–4.755.51–9.935.56–14.68
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7220.6227.33safe2.79–10.6417.05–24.1819.84–34.82safer1.70–11.7316.09–25.1417.79–36.87
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction4.4214.3818.80safe1.48–7.3611.70–17.0613.18–24.42safer0.65–8.1910.96–17.8011.61–25.99
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction1.865.647.50safe0.00–3.743.99–7.293.97–11.04safer0.00–4.283.50–7.792.93–12.07
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction2.487.8410.32safe0.26–4.695.84–9.846.10–14.53safer0.00–5.275.31–10.375.00–15.64
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction26.5574.34safe19.76–33.3467.56–81.13safer18.09–35.0165.88–82.80
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction2807461026safe213–347680–813893–1160safer195–365662–830857–1196
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction61.3585.66safe57.32–65.3881.34–89.99safer56.03–66.6780.03–91.30
Fouls
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction10.588.9419.52safe7.75–13.425.99–11.8813.74–25.30safer6.99–14.185.25–12.6312.24–26.81
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.733.82safe0.93–3.250.63–2.821.57–6.07safer0.63–3.560.34–3.110.98–6.66
Yellow cards
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.273.29safe0.97–3.070.14–2.391.11–5.47safer0.71–3.340.00–2.690.55–6.02
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.021.756.76safe3.58–6.450.19–3.303.77–9.76safer3.19–6.840.00–3.732.96–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.72 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.94 | 3.13 2.28–3.99 2.05–4.22 | 3.86 2.04–5.68 1.56–6.16 | 84% |
| Shots on target | 2.40 0.53–4.26 0.04–4.75 | 7.72 5.98–9.46 5.51–9.93 | 10.12 6.51–13.72 5.56–14.68 | 94% |
| Total shots | 6.72 2.79–10.64 1.70–11.73 | 20.62 17.05–24.18 16.09–25.14 | 27.33 19.84–34.82 17.79–36.87 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 4.42 1.48–7.36 0.65–8.19 | 14.38 11.70–17.06 10.96–17.80 | 18.80 13.18–24.42 11.61–25.99 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 1.86 0.00–3.74 0.00–4.28 | 5.64 3.99–7.29 3.50–7.79 | 7.50 3.97–11.04 2.93–12.07 | 89% |
| Corners | 2.48 0.26–4.69 0.00–5.27 | 7.84 5.84–9.84 5.31–10.37 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 94% |
| Possession % | 26.55 19.76–33.34 18.09–35.01 | 74.34 67.56–81.13 65.88–82.80 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 280 213–347 195–365 | 746 680–813 662–830 | 1026 893–1160 857–1196 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.35 57.32–65.38 56.03–66.67 | 85.66 81.34–89.99 80.03–91.30 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 10.58 7.75–13.42 6.99–14.18 | 8.94 5.99–11.88 5.25–12.63 | 19.52 13.74–25.30 12.24–26.81 | 60% 31% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.56 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.82 1.57–6.07 0.98–6.66 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 1.27 0.14–2.39 0.00–2.69 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.55–6.02 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 5.02 3.58–6.45 3.19–6.84 | 1.75 0.19–3.30 0.00–3.73 | 6.76 3.77–9.76 2.96–10.57 | 86% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.