Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.373.08safe0.74–2.680.51–2.221.25–4.90safer0.49–2.930.28–2.450.77–5.38
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.339.87safe3.69–7.412.58–6.076.27–13.48safer3.20–7.902.12–6.535.31–14.43
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1812.5129.69safe13.26–21.118.95–16.0722.20–37.18safer12.16–22.207.99–17.0320.15–39.23
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction11.148.6519.79safe8.20–14.085.97–11.3314.17–25.42safer7.37–14.915.23–12.0712.60–26.98
Blocked shots
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.423.709.13safe3.54–7.312.05–5.365.59–12.66safer3.00–7.851.56–5.854.56–13.70
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.044.4510.48safe3.82–8.252.45–6.456.27–14.70safer3.25–8.821.91–6.985.16–15.80
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction50.1151.16safe43.32–56.9044.37–57.94safer41.65–58.5742.70–59.61
Passes
50%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction473471944safe406–540405–538810–1078safer388–558387–555775–1113
Pass accuracy %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction69.2273.11safe65.19–73.2568.78–77.43safer63.90–74.5467.47–78.74
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7610.5821.34safe7.92–13.607.64–13.5315.56–27.13safer7.17–14.356.89–14.2814.06–28.63
Offsides
59%
20%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.283.51safe1.07–3.390.19–2.371.26–5.76safer0.77–3.690.00–2.660.67–6.35
Yellow cards
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.693.09safe0.36–2.450.56–2.810.91–5.27safer0.09–2.720.27–3.110.35–5.83
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.536.60safe1.64–4.511.98–5.093.61–9.59safer1.25–4.901.55–5.512.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.37 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 3.08 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 46% 24% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.69–7.41 3.20–7.90 | 4.33 2.58–6.07 2.12–6.53 | 9.87 6.27–13.48 5.31–14.43 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 17.18 13.26–21.11 12.16–22.20 | 12.51 8.95–16.07 7.99–17.03 | 29.69 22.20–37.18 20.15–39.23 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.14 8.20–14.08 7.37–14.91 | 8.65 5.97–11.33 5.23–12.07 | 19.79 14.17–25.42 12.60–26.98 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 5.42 3.54–7.31 3.00–7.85 | 3.70 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 9.13 5.59–12.66 4.56–13.70 | 66% 23% |
| Corners | 6.04 3.82–8.25 3.25–8.82 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.91–6.98 | 10.48 6.27–14.70 5.16–15.80 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 50.11 43.32–56.90 41.65–58.57 | 51.16 44.37–57.94 42.70–59.61 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 473 406–540 388–558 | 471 405–538 387–555 | 944 810–1078 775–1113 | 50% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.22 65.19–73.25 63.90–74.54 | 73.11 68.78–77.43 67.47–78.74 | — | 29% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.76 7.92–13.60 7.17–14.35 | 10.58 7.64–13.53 6.89–14.28 | 21.34 15.56–27.13 14.06–28.63 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.51 1.26–5.76 0.67–6.35 | 59% 20% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.36–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 1.69 0.56–2.81 0.27–3.11 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.35–5.83 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 3.53 1.98–5.09 1.55–5.51 | 6.60 3.61–9.59 2.80–10.41 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+