Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.363.48safe1.16–3.090.50–2.211.66–5.31safer0.91–3.350.28–2.441.18–5.79
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.104.2510.35safe4.23–7.962.51–5.996.74–13.95safer3.75–8.452.04–6.465.78–14.91
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5411.9228.46safe12.61–20.468.36–15.4920.97–35.95safer11.52–21.567.40–16.4418.92–38.00
Shots in box
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction11.148.5119.65safe8.20–14.085.82–11.1914.02–25.27safer7.37–14.915.09–11.9212.46–26.84
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.313.307.61safe2.43–6.201.64–4.954.08–11.15safer1.89–6.741.15–5.443.04–12.18
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.3110.19safe3.67–8.102.31–6.315.98–14.41safer3.10–8.671.77–6.844.87–15.51
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.8143.97safe50.02–63.6037.19–50.76safer48.35–65.2735.52–52.43
Passes
86%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction541409950safe474–609342–475817–1084safer456–627325–493781–1120
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction73.3070.86safe69.27–77.3366.53–75.18safer67.98–78.6265.22–76.49
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1611.6922.86safe8.32–14.008.75–14.6417.07–28.64safer7.57–14.758.00–15.3915.57–30.14
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.613.16safe0.40–2.720.51–2.700.91–5.42safer0.10–3.020.23–2.990.32–6.01
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.883.28safe0.35–2.440.76–3.011.10–5.46safer0.08–2.710.46–3.300.54–6.01
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.976.87safe1.46–4.332.42–5.533.87–9.86safer1.07–4.721.99–5.953.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.09 0.91–3.35 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.28–2.44 | 3.48 1.66–5.31 1.18–5.79 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Shots on target | 6.10 4.23–7.96 3.75–8.45 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 10.35 6.74–13.95 5.78–14.91 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.54 12.61–20.46 11.52–21.56 | 11.92 8.36–15.49 7.40–16.44 | 28.46 20.97–35.95 18.92–38.00 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.14 8.20–14.08 7.37–14.91 | 8.51 5.82–11.19 5.09–11.92 | 19.65 14.02–25.27 12.46–26.84 | 69% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 3.30 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.67–8.10 3.10–8.67 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.77–6.84 | 10.19 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.51 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 56.81 50.02–63.60 48.35–65.27 | 43.97 37.19–50.76 35.52–52.43 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 541 474–609 456–627 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 950 817–1084 781–1120 | 86% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.30 69.27–77.33 67.98–78.62 | 70.86 66.53–75.18 65.22–76.49 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.16 8.32–14.00 7.57–14.75 | 11.69 8.75–14.64 8.00–15.39 | 22.86 17.07–28.64 15.57–30.14 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.61 0.51–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.35–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.88 0.76–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.28 1.10–5.46 0.54–6.01 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.97 2.42–5.53 1.99–5.95 | 6.87 3.87–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 27% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.