Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
93%
homeawaytotalprediction4.350.715.06safe3.38–5.320.00–1.573.24–6.88safer3.13–5.570.00–1.792.76–7.36
Shots on target
98%
homeawaytotalprediction10.212.7112.91safe8.34–12.070.97–4.459.31–16.52safer7.85–12.560.50–4.928.35–17.47
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction25.418.3833.79safe21.49–29.334.81–11.9426.30–41.27safer20.39–30.433.86–12.9024.25–43.33
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction16.735.2321.96safe13.79–19.672.55–7.9116.34–27.58safer12.96–20.501.81–8.6514.77–29.15
Blocked shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6.541.708.25safe4.66–8.430.05–3.364.71–11.78safer4.12–8.970.00–3.853.68–12.82
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.372.7112.07safe7.16–11.580.71–4.717.86–16.29safer6.58–12.160.17–5.246.75–17.39
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.4829.50safe62.69–76.2722.72–36.29safer61.02–77.9421.05–37.96
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7363221057safe668–803255–388924–1191safer650–821238–406888–1227
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction84.5270.65safe80.49–88.5566.32–74.97safer79.19–89.8465.01–76.28
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6910.5219.21safe5.86–11.537.57–13.4613.43–24.99safer5.10–12.296.82–14.2111.92–26.50
Offsides
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.371.634.01safe1.21–3.530.54–2.731.75–6.26safer0.91–3.830.25–3.021.16–6.85
Yellow cards
22%
25%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.612.55safe0.00–1.990.48–2.740.38–4.73safer0.00–2.260.19–3.030.00–5.29
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
92%
homeawaytotalprediction1.876.248.11safe0.44–3.314.68–7.805.12–11.10safer0.05–3.704.26–8.224.31–11.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4.35 3.38–5.32 3.13–5.57 | 0.71 0.00–1.57 0.00–1.79 | 5.06 3.24–6.88 2.76–7.36 | 93% |
| Shots on target | 10.21 8.34–12.07 7.85–12.56 | 2.71 0.97–4.45 0.50–4.92 | 12.91 9.31–16.52 8.35–17.47 | 98% |
| Total shots | 25.41 21.49–29.33 20.39–30.43 | 8.38 4.81–11.94 3.86–12.90 | 33.79 26.30–41.27 24.25–43.33 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.73 13.79–19.67 12.96–20.50 | 5.23 2.55–7.91 1.81–8.65 | 21.96 16.34–27.58 14.77–29.15 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.54 4.66–8.43 4.12–8.97 | 1.70 0.05–3.36 0.00–3.85 | 8.25 4.71–11.78 3.68–12.82 | 94% |
| Corners | 9.37 7.16–11.58 6.58–12.16 | 2.71 0.71–4.71 0.17–5.24 | 12.07 7.86–16.29 6.75–17.39 | 97% |
| Possession % | 69.48 62.69–76.27 61.02–77.94 | 29.50 22.72–36.29 21.05–37.96 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 736 668–803 650–821 | 322 255–388 238–406 | 1057 924–1191 888–1227 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.52 80.49–88.55 79.19–89.84 | 70.65 66.32–74.97 65.01–76.28 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 8.69 5.86–11.53 5.10–12.29 | 10.52 7.57–13.46 6.82–14.21 | 19.21 13.43–24.99 11.92–26.50 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.37 1.21–3.53 0.91–3.83 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 4.01 1.75–6.26 1.16–6.85 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 0.94 0.00–1.99 0.00–2.26 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 2.55 0.38–4.73 0.00–5.29 | 22% 25% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.87 0.44–3.31 0.05–3.70 | 6.24 4.68–7.80 4.26–8.22 | 8.11 5.12–11.10 4.31–11.92 | 92% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.