Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.543.09safe0.58–2.510.69–2.401.27–4.91safer0.33–2.770.46–2.630.79–5.39
Shots on target
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.809.93safe3.27–6.993.06–6.556.33–13.54safer2.78–7.482.60–7.015.37–14.50
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9912.8927.88safe11.06–18.919.33–16.4520.39–35.37safer9.97–20.008.37–17.4118.34–37.42
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.739.5319.25safe6.78–12.676.85–12.2113.63–24.88safer5.95–13.506.11–12.9412.06–26.44
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.448.03safe2.71–6.471.79–5.094.49–11.56safer2.16–7.011.29–5.583.45–12.60
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.754.7210.47safe3.53–7.962.72–6.726.26–14.69safer2.96–8.542.19–7.265.15–15.79
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.9242.13safe52.13–65.7135.35–48.92safer50.46–67.3833.68–50.59
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction543376919safe476–611310–443786–1053safer458–629292–460750–1089
Pass accuracy %
52%
42%
homeawayprediction71.9670.99safe67.93–75.9966.67–75.32safer66.64–77.2965.36–76.62
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6912.6022.29safe6.85–12.529.66–15.5516.51–28.07safer6.09–13.288.91–16.3015.00–29.58
Offsides
16%
15%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.493.024.51safe0.33–2.651.93–4.112.25–6.76safer0.03–2.951.64–4.401.66–7.35
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.983.41safe0.39–2.480.85–3.111.23–5.59safer0.12–2.750.56–3.400.68–6.15
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.586.56safe1.55–4.422.02–5.143.57–9.56safer1.16–4.811.60–5.562.76–10.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.51 0.33–2.77 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 4.80 3.06–6.55 2.60–7.01 | 9.93 6.33–13.54 5.37–14.50 | 48% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.99 11.06–18.91 9.97–20.00 | 12.89 9.33–16.45 8.37–17.41 | 27.88 20.39–35.37 18.34–37.42 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.73 6.78–12.67 5.95–13.50 | 9.53 6.85–12.21 6.11–12.94 | 19.25 13.63–24.88 12.06–26.44 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 3.44 1.79–5.09 1.29–5.58 | 8.03 4.49–11.56 3.45–12.60 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 5.75 3.53–7.96 2.96–8.54 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.19–7.26 | 10.47 6.26–14.69 5.15–15.79 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 58.92 52.13–65.71 50.46–67.38 | 42.13 35.35–48.92 33.68–50.59 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 543 476–611 458–629 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 919 786–1053 750–1089 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.96 67.93–75.99 66.64–77.29 | 70.99 66.67–75.32 65.36–76.62 | — | 52% 42% |
| Fouls | 9.69 6.85–12.52 6.09–13.28 | 12.60 9.66–15.55 8.91–16.30 | 22.29 16.51–28.07 15.00–29.58 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 3.02 1.93–4.11 1.64–4.40 | 4.51 2.25–6.76 1.66–7.35 | 16% 15% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.39–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 3.58 2.02–5.14 1.60–5.56 | 6.56 3.57–9.56 2.76–10.37 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+