Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.420.983.40safe1.45–3.390.13–1.831.58–5.22safer1.20–3.640.00–2.061.10–5.70
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.663.059.71safe4.80–8.521.31–4.806.11–13.32safer4.31–9.010.84–5.265.15–14.27
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.778.8627.64safe14.85–22.705.30–12.4320.15–35.12safer13.76–23.794.34–13.3918.10–37.17
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.395.6218.01safe9.45–15.332.93–8.3012.38–23.63safer8.62–16.162.20–9.0310.82–25.20
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.122.387.50safe3.24–7.000.73–4.033.96–11.03safer2.69–7.540.23–4.522.93–12.07
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.772.999.77safe4.56–8.990.99–4.995.55–13.98safer3.99–9.560.46–5.534.45–15.09
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.1838.15safe55.39–68.9731.37–44.94safer53.72–70.6429.70–46.61
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction597370967safe530–664304–437834–1101safer512–682286–454798–1137
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction79.5369.62safe75.50–83.5665.30–73.95safer74.21–84.8563.99–75.26
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9912.9823.98safe8.16–13.8310.04–15.9318.19–29.76safer7.40–14.599.29–16.6816.69–31.26
Offsides
39%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.573.17safe0.44–2.760.48–2.660.92–5.43safer0.14–3.060.19–2.950.33–6.02
Yellow cards
25%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.213.68safe0.42–2.521.08–3.341.51–5.86safer0.16–2.790.79–3.630.95–6.42
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.054.356.40safe0.61–3.482.79–5.913.41–9.39safer0.22–3.872.37–6.332.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.42 1.45–3.39 1.20–3.64 | 0.98 0.13–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 3.40 1.58–5.22 1.10–5.70 | 69% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.66 4.80–8.52 4.31–9.01 | 3.05 1.31–4.80 0.84–5.26 | 9.71 6.11–13.32 5.15–14.27 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.77 14.85–22.70 13.76–23.79 | 8.86 5.30–12.43 4.34–13.39 | 27.64 20.15–35.12 18.10–37.17 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.39 9.45–15.33 8.62–16.16 | 5.62 2.93–8.30 2.20–9.03 | 18.01 12.38–23.63 10.82–25.20 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.12 3.24–7.00 2.69–7.54 | 2.38 0.73–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 7.50 3.96–11.03 2.93–12.07 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.77 4.56–8.99 3.99–9.56 | 2.99 0.99–4.99 0.46–5.53 | 9.77 5.55–13.98 4.45–15.09 | 86% |
| Possession % | 62.18 55.39–68.97 53.72–70.64 | 38.15 31.37–44.94 29.70–46.61 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 597 530–664 512–682 | 370 304–437 286–454 | 967 834–1101 798–1137 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.53 75.50–83.56 74.21–84.85 | 69.62 65.30–73.95 63.99–75.26 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.99 8.16–13.83 7.40–14.59 | 12.98 10.04–15.93 9.29–16.68 | 23.98 18.19–29.76 16.69–31.26 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 39% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 25% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.05 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 4.35 2.79–5.91 2.37–6.33 | 6.40 3.41–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.