Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.283.01safe0.76–2.690.43–2.141.18–4.83safer0.51–2.940.20–2.360.70–5.31
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.703.829.52safe3.84–7.572.07–5.565.92–13.13safer3.35–8.061.61–6.034.96–14.08
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8612.8728.73safe11.94–19.799.31–16.4321.25–36.22safer10.85–20.888.35–17.3919.19–38.27
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction11.148.1819.32safe8.20–14.085.50–10.8613.70–24.95safer7.37–14.914.77–11.6012.13–26.51
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.503.628.11safe2.61–6.381.96–5.274.58–11.65safer2.07–6.921.47–5.763.54–12.68
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.794.4210.22safe3.58–8.012.42–6.426.01–14.43safer3.01–8.581.89–6.964.90–15.54
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction53.0447.15safe46.25–59.8340.37–53.94safer44.58–61.5038.70–55.61
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction462405867safe395–529338–471733–1000safer377–547321–489697–1036
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction71.2272.46safe67.19–75.2568.13–76.78safer65.90–76.5466.82–78.09
Fouls
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3415.2225.56safe7.50–13.1812.28–18.1719.78–31.34safer6.75–13.9311.53–18.9218.28–32.85
Offsides
37%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.623.16safe0.38–2.700.53–2.710.91–5.42safer0.08–3.000.24–3.000.32–6.01
Yellow cards
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.523.96safe0.39–2.491.39–3.651.78–6.14safer0.13–2.761.10–3.941.23–6.70
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.536.34safe1.38–4.251.97–5.083.35–9.34safer0.99–4.641.55–5.512.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.76–2.69 0.51–2.94 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.36 | 3.01 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 48% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.70 3.84–7.57 3.35–8.06 | 3.82 2.07–5.56 1.61–6.03 | 9.52 5.92–13.13 4.96–14.08 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.86 11.94–19.79 10.85–20.88 | 12.87 9.31–16.43 8.35–17.39 | 28.73 21.25–36.22 19.19–38.27 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 11.14 8.20–14.08 7.37–14.91 | 8.18 5.50–10.86 4.77–11.60 | 19.32 13.70–24.95 12.13–26.51 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.50 2.61–6.38 2.07–6.92 | 3.62 1.96–5.27 1.47–5.76 | 8.11 4.58–11.65 3.54–12.68 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.01 3.01–8.58 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.96 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.04 46.25–59.83 44.58–61.50 | 47.15 40.37–53.94 38.70–55.61 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 462 395–529 377–547 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 867 733–1000 697–1036 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.22 67.19–75.25 65.90–76.54 | 72.46 68.13–76.78 66.82–78.09 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 10.34 7.50–13.18 6.75–13.93 | 15.22 12.28–18.17 11.53–18.92 | 25.56 19.78–31.34 18.28–32.85 | 14% 81% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 37% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.53 1.97–5.08 1.55–5.51 | 6.34 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.