Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.453.34safe0.92–2.860.59–2.301.52–5.16safer0.67–3.110.37–2.531.04–5.64
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.624.4810.10safe3.75–7.482.74–6.236.50–13.71safer3.26–7.972.28–6.695.54–14.66
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1012.5728.66safe12.17–20.029.00–16.1321.18–36.15safer11.08–21.118.04–17.0919.13–38.20
Shots in box
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction10.518.7019.21safe7.57–13.456.02–11.3813.59–24.83safer6.74–14.285.28–12.1212.02–26.40
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.273.427.69safe2.38–6.151.77–5.074.15–11.22safer1.84–6.691.28–5.573.12–12.26
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.684.3410.02safe3.47–7.892.34–6.345.81–14.24safer2.89–8.471.81–6.884.70–15.34
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction54.0647.00safe47.27–60.8540.21–53.78safer45.60–62.5238.54–55.46
Passes
68%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction487429916safe419–554363–496782–1050safer401–572345–513747–1085
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction73.4072.41safe69.37–77.4368.08–76.73safer68.08–78.7266.77–78.04
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4113.0124.43safe8.58–14.2510.07–15.9618.65–30.21safer7.82–15.019.32–16.7117.14–31.72
Offsides
38%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.472.94safe0.31–2.630.38–2.560.68–5.19safer0.01–2.930.09–2.850.09–5.78
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.063.69safe0.59–2.680.93–3.191.52–5.87safer0.32–2.950.64–3.480.96–6.43
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.283.666.95safe1.85–4.722.11–5.223.96–9.94safer1.46–5.111.68–5.653.14–10.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.37–2.53 | 3.34 1.52–5.16 1.04–5.64 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.62 3.75–7.48 3.26–7.97 | 4.48 2.74–6.23 2.28–6.69 | 10.10 6.50–13.71 5.54–14.66 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 16.10 12.17–20.02 11.08–21.11 | 12.57 9.00–16.13 8.04–17.09 | 28.66 21.18–36.15 19.13–38.20 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 10.51 7.57–13.45 6.74–14.28 | 8.70 6.02–11.38 5.28–12.12 | 19.21 13.59–24.83 12.02–26.40 | 62% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.38–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 3.42 1.77–5.07 1.28–5.57 | 7.69 4.15–11.22 3.12–12.26 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.68 3.47–7.89 2.89–8.47 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.88 | 10.02 5.81–14.24 4.70–15.34 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 54.06 47.27–60.85 45.60–62.52 | 47.00 40.21–53.78 38.54–55.46 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 487 419–554 401–572 | 429 363–496 345–513 | 916 782–1050 747–1085 | 68% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.40 69.37–77.43 68.08–78.72 | 72.41 68.08–76.73 66.77–78.04 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.58–14.25 7.82–15.01 | 13.01 10.07–15.96 9.32–16.71 | 24.43 18.65–30.21 17.14–31.72 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 2.94 0.68–5.19 0.09–5.78 | 38% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.59–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.69 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.28 1.85–4.72 1.46–5.11 | 3.66 2.11–5.22 1.68–5.65 | 6.95 3.96–9.94 3.14–10.75 | 37% 15% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+