Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.533.03safe0.54–2.470.67–2.381.21–4.85safer0.28–2.720.44–2.610.73–5.33
Shots on target
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.865.4110.27safe2.99–6.723.67–7.156.66–13.87safer2.50–7.213.20–7.625.71–14.83
Total shots
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0614.4229.48safe11.14–18.9810.86–17.9922.00–36.97safer10.04–20.089.90–18.9519.95–39.02
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction9.259.2718.52safe6.30–12.196.59–11.9512.90–24.14safer5.48–13.025.85–12.6911.33–25.71
Blocked shots
42%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.974.007.97safe2.09–5.862.34–5.654.44–11.51safer1.55–6.401.85–6.143.40–12.54
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.615.1210.73safe3.40–7.823.12–7.126.52–14.94safer2.82–8.402.59–7.665.41–16.05
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.0951.71safe41.30–54.8844.93–58.50safer39.63–56.5543.25–60.17
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction426449874safe358–493382–515741–1008safer340–511365–533705–1044
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction65.7071.74safe61.67–69.7367.42–76.06safer60.38–71.0266.11–77.37
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5410.8222.36safe8.71–14.387.88–13.7716.58–28.15safer7.95–15.147.13–14.5115.08–29.65
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.853.55safe0.53–2.850.76–2.951.30–5.80safer0.23–3.160.47–3.240.71–6.39
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.883.28safe0.36–2.460.75–3.001.10–5.46safer0.09–2.720.46–3.300.55–6.02
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.483.306.77safe2.04–4.911.74–4.853.78–9.77safer1.65–5.301.31–5.282.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.54–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 2.99–6.72 2.50–7.21 | 5.41 3.67–7.15 3.20–7.62 | 10.27 6.66–13.87 5.71–14.83 | 37% 51% |
| Total shots | 15.06 11.14–18.98 10.04–20.08 | 14.42 10.86–17.99 9.90–18.95 | 29.48 22.00–36.97 19.95–39.02 | 51% 42% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.30–12.19 5.48–13.02 | 9.27 6.59–11.95 5.85–12.69 | 18.52 12.90–24.14 11.33–25.71 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 4.00 2.34–5.65 1.85–6.14 | 7.97 4.44–11.51 3.40–12.54 | 42% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.40–7.82 2.82–8.40 | 5.12 3.12–7.12 2.59–7.66 | 10.73 6.52–14.94 5.41–16.05 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.09 41.30–54.88 39.63–56.55 | 51.71 44.93–58.50 43.25–60.17 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 426 358–493 340–511 | 449 382–515 365–533 | 874 741–1008 705–1044 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.70 61.67–69.73 60.38–71.02 | 71.74 67.42–76.06 66.11–77.37 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.71–14.38 7.95–15.14 | 10.82 7.88–13.77 7.13–14.51 | 22.36 16.58–28.15 15.08–29.65 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.24 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 1.88 0.75–3.00 0.46–3.30 | 3.28 1.10–5.46 0.55–6.02 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.48 2.04–4.91 1.65–5.30 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.28 | 6.77 3.78–9.77 2.97–10.58 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+