Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.332.71safe0.42–2.350.48–2.190.89–4.54safer0.16–2.600.25–2.410.41–5.02
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.584.398.97safe2.71–6.442.65–6.135.36–12.57safer2.22–6.932.18–6.604.41–13.53
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7813.2927.07safe9.86–17.719.73–16.8519.58–34.56safer8.77–18.808.77–17.8117.53–36.61
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.078.6517.72safe6.13–12.015.97–11.3312.09–23.34safer5.30–12.845.23–12.0710.53–24.91
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.777.59safe1.94–5.702.11–5.424.05–11.12safer1.39–6.251.62–5.913.02–12.16
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.035.2110.24safe2.81–7.243.21–7.216.03–14.45safer2.24–7.812.68–7.754.92–15.56
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.1649.40safe43.37–56.9542.62–56.19safer41.70–58.6240.95–57.86
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction419402821safe352–486335–468687–955safer334–505318–486652–990
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction66.1969.10safe62.16–70.2264.78–73.42safer60.87–71.5163.47–74.73
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9511.5624.51safe10.12–15.798.61–14.5018.73–30.29safer9.36–16.557.86–15.2517.23–31.80
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.933.55safe0.46–2.780.84–3.021.30–5.81safer0.16–3.080.55–3.310.71–6.40
Yellow cards
48%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.784.00safe1.17–3.270.65–2.911.82–6.17safer0.90–3.530.36–3.201.26–6.73
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.346.40safe1.63–4.501.78–4.903.41–9.39safer1.24–4.891.36–5.322.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.42–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.41 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.58 2.71–6.44 2.22–6.93 | 4.39 2.65–6.13 2.18–6.60 | 8.97 5.36–12.57 4.41–13.53 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.78 9.86–17.71 8.77–18.80 | 13.29 9.73–16.85 8.77–17.81 | 27.07 19.58–34.56 17.53–36.61 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.13–12.01 5.30–12.84 | 8.65 5.97–11.33 5.23–12.07 | 17.72 12.09–23.34 10.53–24.91 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.39–6.25 | 3.77 2.11–5.42 1.62–5.91 | 7.59 4.05–11.12 3.02–12.16 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.81–7.24 2.24–7.81 | 5.21 3.21–7.21 2.68–7.75 | 10.24 6.03–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 50.16 43.37–56.95 41.70–58.62 | 49.40 42.62–56.19 40.95–57.86 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 419 352–486 334–505 | 402 335–468 318–486 | 821 687–955 652–990 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.19 62.16–70.22 60.87–71.51 | 69.10 64.78–73.42 63.47–74.73 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 12.95 10.12–15.79 9.36–16.55 | 11.56 8.61–14.50 7.86–15.25 | 24.51 18.73–30.29 17.23–31.80 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.93 0.84–3.02 0.55–3.31 | 3.55 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.17–3.27 0.90–3.53 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 4.00 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 48% 20% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 3.34 1.78–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 6.40 3.41–9.39 2.60–10.21 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.