Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.092.423.51safe0.13–2.061.56–3.271.69–5.34safer0.00–2.311.34–3.501.21–5.82
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.776.009.78safe1.91–5.634.26–7.756.17–13.38safer1.42–6.123.80–8.215.22–14.34
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8416.6327.47safe6.91–14.7613.06–20.1919.98–34.95safer5.82–15.8612.11–21.1517.93–37.00
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6711.5918.26safe3.73–9.628.91–14.2712.64–23.88safer2.90–10.458.17–15.0111.07–25.45
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.074.527.59safe1.19–4.952.86–6.174.05–11.12safer0.64–5.502.37–6.663.02–12.16
Corners
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.146.3310.47safe1.93–6.354.33–8.336.26–14.68safer1.35–6.933.80–8.865.15–15.79
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.4161.42safe32.62–46.2054.63–68.20safer30.95–47.8752.96–69.87
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction372577949safe305–439511–644816–1083safer287–457493–661780–1119
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction61.9675.85safe57.93–65.9971.53–80.18safer56.64–67.2870.22–81.49
Fouls
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5911.1620.74safe6.75–12.428.21–14.1014.96–26.53safer5.99–13.187.46–14.8513.46–28.03
Offsides
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.484.45safe0.81–3.131.38–3.572.20–6.70safer0.51–3.441.10–3.861.61–7.29
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.713.22safe0.46–2.560.59–2.841.05–5.40safer0.20–2.830.29–3.130.49–5.96
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.952.626.57safe2.52–5.391.06–4.173.58–9.56safer2.13–5.780.64–4.602.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.13–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 2.42 1.56–3.27 1.34–3.50 | 3.51 1.69–5.34 1.21–5.82 | 16% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.77 1.91–5.63 1.42–6.12 | 6.00 4.26–7.75 3.80–8.21 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.22–14.34 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.84 6.91–14.76 5.82–15.86 | 16.63 13.06–20.19 12.11–21.15 | 27.47 19.98–34.95 17.93–37.00 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 6.67 3.73–9.62 2.90–10.45 | 11.59 8.91–14.27 8.17–15.01 | 18.26 12.64–23.88 11.07–25.45 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.95 0.64–5.50 | 4.52 2.86–6.17 2.37–6.66 | 7.59 4.05–11.12 3.02–12.16 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 4.14 1.93–6.35 1.35–6.93 | 6.33 4.33–8.33 3.80–8.86 | 10.47 6.26–14.68 5.15–15.79 | 20% 70% |
| Possession % | 39.41 32.62–46.20 30.95–47.87 | 61.42 54.63–68.20 52.96–69.87 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–457 | 577 511–644 493–661 | 949 816–1083 780–1119 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.96 57.93–65.99 56.64–67.28 | 75.85 71.53–80.18 70.22–81.49 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 9.59 6.75–12.42 5.99–13.18 | 11.16 8.21–14.10 7.46–14.85 | 20.74 14.96–26.53 13.46–28.03 | 32% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.44 | 2.48 1.38–3.57 1.10–3.86 | 4.45 2.20–6.70 1.61–7.29 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 1.71 0.59–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.22 1.05–5.40 0.49–5.96 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.95 2.52–5.39 2.13–5.78 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.64–4.60 | 6.57 3.58–9.56 2.77–10.38 | 63% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+