Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.953.42safe0.50–2.441.09–2.801.60–5.24safer0.25–2.690.86–3.031.12–5.72
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.556.2510.80safe2.69–6.414.51–7.997.20–14.41safer2.20–6.904.04–8.466.24–15.36
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0316.7430.78safe10.11–17.9613.18–20.3123.29–38.26safer9.02–19.0512.22–21.2721.24–40.31
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8111.1920.01safe5.87–11.768.51–13.8714.38–25.63safer5.04–12.597.77–14.6112.82–27.20
Blocked shots
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.964.718.67safe2.08–5.853.05–6.365.13–12.21safer1.54–6.392.56–6.854.10–13.24
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.755.7310.47safe2.53–6.963.73–7.736.26–14.68safer1.96–7.533.19–8.265.15–15.79
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.7456.16safe37.95–51.5349.38–62.95safer36.28–53.2047.71–64.62
Passes
19%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction436538974safe368–503472–605840–1108safer350–521454–622805–1143
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction66.7777.16safe62.74–70.8072.83–81.48safer61.45–72.1071.52–82.79
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9710.3921.36safe8.13–13.807.44–13.3315.57–27.14safer7.37–14.566.70–14.0814.07–28.64
Offsides
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.283.72safe0.28–2.601.19–3.371.47–5.97safer0.00–2.900.90–3.660.88–6.56
Yellow cards
33%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.833.36safe0.49–2.580.70–2.951.18–5.54safer0.22–2.850.41–3.250.63–6.10
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
56%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.036.96safe2.49–5.371.47–4.593.97–9.95safer2.11–5.751.05–5.013.15–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.95 1.09–2.80 0.86–3.03 | 3.42 1.60–5.24 1.12–5.72 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.69–6.41 2.20–6.90 | 6.25 4.51–7.99 4.04–8.46 | 10.80 7.20–14.41 6.24–15.36 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 14.03 10.11–17.96 9.02–19.05 | 16.74 13.18–20.31 12.22–21.27 | 30.78 23.29–38.26 21.24–40.31 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 8.81 5.87–11.76 5.04–12.59 | 11.19 8.51–13.87 7.77–14.61 | 20.01 14.38–25.63 12.82–27.20 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 4.71 3.05–6.36 2.56–6.85 | 8.67 5.13–12.21 4.10–13.24 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.53–6.96 1.96–7.53 | 5.73 3.73–7.73 3.19–8.26 | 10.47 6.26–14.68 5.15–15.79 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 44.74 37.95–51.53 36.28–53.20 | 56.16 49.38–62.95 47.71–64.62 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 436 368–503 350–521 | 538 472–605 454–622 | 974 840–1108 805–1143 | 19% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.77 62.74–70.80 61.45–72.10 | 77.16 72.83–81.48 71.52–82.79 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.97 8.13–13.80 7.37–14.56 | 10.39 7.44–13.33 6.70–14.08 | 21.36 15.57–27.14 14.07–28.64 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 2.28 1.19–3.37 0.90–3.66 | 3.72 1.47–5.97 0.88–6.56 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 1.83 0.70–2.95 0.41–3.25 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.63–6.10 | 33% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.93 2.49–5.37 2.11–5.75 | 3.03 1.47–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 6.96 3.97–9.95 3.15–10.76 | 56% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+