Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
17%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.032.483.50safe0.06–1.991.62–3.331.68–5.33safer0.00–2.251.39–3.561.20–5.81
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.546.9810.52safe1.68–5.405.24–8.726.92–14.13safer1.19–5.894.77–9.195.96–15.08
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6418.1428.78safe6.71–14.5614.58–21.7021.29–36.27safer5.62–15.6613.62–22.6619.24–38.32
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0512.6519.70safe4.11–9.999.97–15.3314.08–25.32safer3.28–10.829.23–16.0712.51–26.89
Blocked shots
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.245.098.33safe1.36–5.123.43–6.744.79–11.86safer0.82–5.672.94–7.233.76–12.90
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.536.6410.17safe1.32–5.744.64–8.645.96–14.39safer0.74–6.324.11–9.184.85–15.49
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction32.9067.71safe26.11–39.6960.93–74.50safer24.44–41.3659.26–76.17
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction310657967safe243–377590–723833–1101safer225–395573–741798–1136
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction67.5082.71safe63.47–71.5378.38–87.03safer62.17–72.8277.07–88.34
Fouls
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction12.728.8721.60safe9.89–15.565.93–11.8215.81–27.38safer9.13–16.325.18–12.5714.31–28.88
Offsides
45%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.874.02safe0.99–3.310.78–2.961.76–6.27safer0.69–3.610.49–3.251.18–6.86
Yellow cards
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.493.73safe1.19–3.290.36–2.621.55–5.91safer0.93–3.560.07–2.910.99–6.47
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.472.356.82safe3.03–5.910.79–3.903.82–9.81safer2.65–6.290.36–4.333.01–10.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–1.99 0.00–2.25 | 2.48 1.62–3.33 1.39–3.56 | 3.50 1.68–5.33 1.20–5.81 | 14% 17% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.54 1.68–5.40 1.19–5.89 | 6.98 5.24–8.72 4.77–9.19 | 10.52 6.92–14.13 5.96–15.08 | 82% |
| Total shots | 10.64 6.71–14.56 5.62–15.66 | 18.14 14.58–21.70 13.62–22.66 | 28.78 21.29–36.27 19.24–38.32 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 7.05 4.11–9.99 3.28–10.82 | 12.65 9.97–15.33 9.23–16.07 | 19.70 14.08–25.32 12.51–26.89 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.36–5.12 0.82–5.67 | 5.09 3.43–6.74 2.94–7.23 | 8.33 4.79–11.86 3.76–12.90 | 21% 68% |
| Corners | 3.53 1.32–5.74 0.74–6.32 | 6.64 4.64–8.64 4.11–9.18 | 10.17 5.96–14.39 4.85–15.49 | 80% |
| Possession % | 32.90 26.11–39.69 24.44–41.36 | 67.71 60.93–74.50 59.26–76.17 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 310 243–377 225–395 | 657 590–723 573–741 | 967 833–1101 798–1136 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.50 63.47–71.53 62.17–72.82 | 82.71 78.38–87.03 77.07–88.34 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 12.72 9.89–15.56 9.13–16.32 | 8.87 5.93–11.82 5.18–12.57 | 21.60 15.81–27.38 14.31–28.88 | 77% 17% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.87 0.78–2.96 0.49–3.25 | 4.02 1.76–6.27 1.18–6.86 | 45% 20% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.93–3.56 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 0.99–6.47 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.47 3.03–5.91 2.65–6.29 | 2.35 0.79–3.90 0.36–4.33 | 6.82 3.82–9.81 3.01–10.62 | 73% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+