Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.823.17safe0.38–2.320.96–2.671.34–4.99safer0.13–2.570.73–2.900.86–5.47
Shots on target
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.625.4910.11safe2.76–6.483.75–7.246.51–13.72safer2.27–6.973.29–7.705.55–14.67
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5414.6528.18safe9.61–17.4611.08–18.2120.70–35.67safer8.52–18.5510.13–19.1718.65–37.72
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1810.2019.37safe6.23–12.127.52–12.8813.75–25.00safer5.40–12.956.78–13.6212.18–26.56
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.154.548.69safe2.27–6.032.89–6.205.16–12.23safer1.73–6.582.40–6.694.12–13.26
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.855.059.90safe2.64–7.073.05–7.055.69–14.11safer2.07–7.642.51–7.584.58–15.22
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.1455.37safe37.34–50.9348.59–62.16safer35.68–52.6046.91–63.83
Passes
21%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction379473853safe312–447407–540719–987safer294–465389–557683–1022
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction67.3277.50safe63.29–71.3573.18–81.83safer62.00–72.6471.87–83.14
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0711.8824.95safe10.23–15.918.94–14.8319.17–30.74safer9.48–16.668.19–15.5817.67–32.24
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.493.09safe0.44–2.760.40–2.590.84–5.35safer0.14–3.060.11–2.870.25–5.93
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.993.87safe0.83–2.930.86–3.121.70–6.05safer0.56–3.200.57–3.411.14–6.61
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.383.056.43safe1.94–4.811.50–4.613.44–9.42safer1.55–5.201.07–5.032.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.82 0.96–2.67 0.73–2.90 | 3.17 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.47 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.48 2.27–6.97 | 5.49 3.75–7.24 3.29–7.70 | 10.11 6.51–13.72 5.55–14.67 | 33% 55% |
| Total shots | 13.54 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.55 | 14.65 11.08–18.21 10.13–19.17 | 28.18 20.70–35.67 18.65–37.72 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 9.18 6.23–12.12 5.40–12.95 | 10.20 7.52–12.88 6.78–13.62 | 19.37 13.75–25.00 12.18–26.56 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 4.15 2.27–6.03 1.73–6.58 | 4.54 2.89–6.20 2.40–6.69 | 8.69 5.16–12.23 4.12–13.26 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 4.85 2.64–7.07 2.07–7.64 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.51–7.58 | 9.90 5.69–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 44.14 37.34–50.93 35.68–52.60 | 55.37 48.59–62.16 46.91–63.83 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 379 312–447 294–465 | 473 407–540 389–557 | 853 719–987 683–1022 | 21% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.32 63.29–71.35 62.00–72.64 | 77.50 73.18–81.83 71.87–83.14 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 13.07 10.23–15.91 9.48–16.66 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.58 | 24.95 19.17–30.74 17.67–32.24 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.87 | 3.09 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.93 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.20 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.87 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.63–10.24 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.