Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.520.893.41safe1.55–3.490.04–1.751.59–5.23safer1.30–3.740.00–1.971.11–5.71
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.863.3810.24safe5.00–8.721.63–5.126.63–13.84safer4.51–9.211.17–5.585.68–14.80
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.849.1329.97safe16.91–24.765.57–12.6922.48–37.46safer15.82–25.864.61–13.6520.43–39.51
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.565.8520.41safe11.61–17.503.17–8.5314.78–26.03safer10.79–18.332.43–9.2713.22–27.60
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.802.358.14safe3.92–7.680.69–4.004.61–11.68safer3.37–8.220.20–4.493.57–12.71
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.713.2210.93safe5.50–9.921.22–5.226.72–15.14safer4.92–10.500.68–5.755.61–16.25
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.6139.28safe53.82–67.4032.49–46.06safer52.15–69.0730.82–47.74
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction578371949safe511–646304–437816–1083safer493–664287–455780–1119
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction76.5468.63safe72.52–80.5764.31–72.96safer71.22–81.8763.00–74.27
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2810.2920.58safe7.44–13.127.35–13.2414.79–26.36safer6.69–13.886.60–13.9913.29–27.86
Offsides
43%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.944.04safe0.94–3.260.84–3.031.78–6.29safer0.64–3.560.56–3.321.19–6.88
Yellow cards
21%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.882.96safe0.03–2.130.75–3.010.78–5.14safer0.00–2.390.46–3.300.23–5.70
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.16safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.194.706.89safe0.75–3.623.14–6.263.90–9.88safer0.36–4.012.72–6.683.08–10.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.52 1.55–3.49 1.30–3.74 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.97 | 3.41 1.59–5.23 1.11–5.71 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.86 5.00–8.72 4.51–9.21 | 3.38 1.63–5.12 1.17–5.58 | 10.24 6.63–13.84 5.68–14.80 | 83% |
| Total shots | 20.84 16.91–24.76 15.82–25.86 | 9.13 5.57–12.69 4.61–13.65 | 29.97 22.48–37.46 20.43–39.51 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.56 11.61–17.50 10.79–18.33 | 5.85 3.17–8.53 2.43–9.27 | 20.41 14.78–26.03 13.22–27.60 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.80 3.92–7.68 3.37–8.22 | 2.35 0.69–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 8.14 4.61–11.68 3.57–12.71 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.71 5.50–9.92 4.92–10.50 | 3.22 1.22–5.22 0.68–5.75 | 10.93 6.72–15.14 5.61–16.25 | 89% |
| Possession % | 60.61 53.82–67.40 52.15–69.07 | 39.28 32.49–46.06 30.82–47.74 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 578 511–646 493–664 | 371 304–437 287–455 | 949 816–1083 780–1119 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.54 72.52–80.57 71.22–81.87 | 68.63 64.31–72.96 63.00–74.27 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.44–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 10.29 7.35–13.24 6.60–13.99 | 20.58 14.79–26.36 13.29–27.86 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.94 0.84–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 4.04 1.78–6.29 1.19–6.88 | 43% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.08 0.03–2.13 0.00–2.39 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 2.96 0.78–5.14 0.23–5.70 | 21% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 4.70 3.14–6.26 2.72–6.68 | 6.89 3.90–9.88 3.08–10.69 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.