Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.640.963.60safe1.67–3.610.11–1.811.78–5.42safer1.42–3.860.00–2.041.30–5.90
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.323.5910.91safe5.46–9.191.84–5.337.31–14.52safer4.97–9.681.38–5.796.35–15.47
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction21.2410.0631.30safe17.32–25.176.50–13.6223.82–38.79safer16.23–26.265.54–14.5821.76–40.84
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction14.257.1221.37safe11.31–17.194.44–9.8015.74–26.99safer10.48–18.023.70–10.5414.18–28.56
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.592.688.28safe3.71–7.481.03–4.344.74–11.81safer3.17–8.020.54–4.833.71–12.85
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction8.213.6711.87safe5.99–10.421.67–5.677.66–16.09safer5.42–10.991.13–6.206.55–17.19
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.6936.25safe57.90–71.4829.47–43.04safer56.23–73.1527.80–44.71
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction626355981safe559–694288–421847–1115safer541–712271–439812–1150
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction76.0365.68safe72.00–80.0661.36–70.01safer70.71–81.3560.05–71.32
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0312.0322.06safe7.19–12.879.09–14.9816.28–27.84safer6.43–13.628.34–15.7314.78–29.35
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.513.51safe0.84–3.160.42–2.601.25–5.76safer0.54–3.460.13–2.890.66–6.35
Yellow cards
17%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.132.303.43safe0.08–2.181.17–3.431.25–5.61safer0.00–2.450.88–3.720.69–6.16
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.374.657.03safe0.94–3.813.10–6.214.03–10.02safer0.55–4.202.67–6.643.22–10.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.64 1.67–3.61 1.42–3.86 | 0.96 0.11–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 3.60 1.78–5.42 1.30–5.90 | 73% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.32 5.46–9.19 4.97–9.68 | 3.59 1.84–5.33 1.38–5.79 | 10.91 7.31–14.52 6.35–15.47 | 84% |
| Total shots | 21.24 17.32–25.17 16.23–26.26 | 10.06 6.50–13.62 5.54–14.58 | 31.30 23.82–38.79 21.76–40.84 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 14.25 11.31–17.19 10.48–18.02 | 7.12 4.44–9.80 3.70–10.54 | 21.37 15.74–26.99 14.18–28.56 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.59 3.71–7.48 3.17–8.02 | 2.68 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 8.28 4.74–11.81 3.71–12.85 | 80% |
| Corners | 8.21 5.99–10.42 5.42–10.99 | 3.67 1.67–5.67 1.13–6.20 | 11.87 7.66–16.09 6.55–17.19 | 88% |
| Possession % | 64.69 57.90–71.48 56.23–73.15 | 36.25 29.47–43.04 27.80–44.71 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 626 559–694 541–712 | 355 288–421 271–439 | 981 847–1115 812–1150 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.03 72.00–80.06 70.71–81.35 | 65.68 61.36–70.01 60.05–71.32 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.03 7.19–12.87 6.43–13.62 | 12.03 9.09–14.98 8.34–15.73 | 22.06 16.28–27.84 14.78–29.35 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.13 0.08–2.18 0.00–2.45 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.69–6.16 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 4.65 3.10–6.21 2.67–6.64 | 7.03 4.03–10.02 3.22–10.83 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.