Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.482.74safe0.29–2.230.63–2.330.92–4.56safer0.04–2.480.40–2.560.44–5.04
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.204.678.87safe2.34–6.062.93–6.415.27–12.48safer1.85–6.552.46–6.884.31–13.43
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8412.4026.24safe9.92–17.778.84–15.9618.75–33.73safer8.83–18.867.88–16.9216.70–35.78
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.417.9717.38safe6.47–12.365.29–10.6511.76–23.01safer5.64–13.194.55–11.3910.19–24.57
Blocked shots
43%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.837.64safe1.93–5.702.17–5.484.11–11.18safer1.39–6.241.68–5.973.07–12.21
Corners
46%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.649.51safe2.66–7.092.64–6.645.30–13.72safer2.09–7.662.10–7.174.19–14.83
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction48.2852.49safe41.49–55.0745.71–59.28safer39.82–56.7444.04–60.95
Passes
35%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction412457869safe345–479390–523735–1003safer327–497373–541700–1038
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction69.7272.86safe65.69–73.7568.54–77.19safer64.40–75.0467.23–78.49
Fouls
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7510.1022.85safe9.91–15.597.16–13.0517.07–28.64safer9.16–16.356.41–13.8015.57–30.14
Offsides
45%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.383.06safe0.52–2.840.29–2.470.80–5.31safer0.22–3.140.00–2.760.22–5.90
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.963.90safe0.89–2.990.83–3.091.72–6.08safer0.62–3.250.54–3.381.17–6.64
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.895.82safe1.49–4.361.33–4.452.82–8.81safer1.10–4.750.91–4.872.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.48 0.63–2.33 0.40–2.56 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 32% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.20 2.34–6.06 1.85–6.55 | 4.67 2.93–6.41 2.46–6.88 | 8.87 5.27–12.48 4.31–13.43 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.92–17.77 8.83–18.86 | 12.40 8.84–15.96 7.88–16.92 | 26.24 18.75–33.73 16.70–35.78 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.41 6.47–12.36 5.64–13.19 | 7.97 5.29–10.65 4.55–11.39 | 17.38 11.76–23.01 10.19–24.57 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.93–5.70 1.39–6.24 | 3.83 2.17–5.48 1.68–5.97 | 7.64 4.11–11.18 3.07–12.21 | 43% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.10–7.17 | 9.51 5.30–13.72 4.19–14.83 | 46% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 48.28 41.49–55.07 39.82–56.74 | 52.49 45.71–59.28 44.04–60.95 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 412 345–479 327–497 | 457 390–523 373–541 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 35% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.72 65.69–73.75 64.40–75.04 | 72.86 68.54–77.19 67.23–78.49 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.59 9.16–16.35 | 10.10 7.16–13.05 6.41–13.80 | 22.85 17.07–28.64 15.57–30.14 | 67% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.38 0.29–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.06 0.80–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 45% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.17–6.64 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 2.89 1.33–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 5.82 2.82–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+