Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.362.71safe0.39–2.330.50–2.210.89–4.54safer0.14–2.580.27–2.440.41–5.02
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.444.729.16safe2.58–6.302.97–6.465.55–12.76safer2.09–6.792.51–6.934.60–13.72
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5813.0525.64safe8.66–16.519.49–16.6218.15–33.12safer7.57–17.608.53–17.5816.10–35.17
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.378.9017.27safe5.43–11.326.22–11.5811.65–22.90safer4.60–12.155.48–12.3210.08–24.46
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.633.607.23safe1.75–5.511.95–5.263.70–10.77safer1.20–6.051.46–5.752.66–11.80
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.045.0610.10safe2.82–7.253.06–7.065.89–14.31safer2.25–7.822.53–7.594.78–15.42
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.0750.51safe42.28–55.8643.72–57.29safer40.61–57.5342.05–58.96
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction438433871safe370–505366–499737–1004safer352–523349–517701–1040
Pass accuracy %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction65.7268.91safe61.70–69.7564.59–73.23safer60.40–71.0563.28–74.54
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0712.3823.45safe8.23–13.919.43–15.3217.67–29.23safer7.48–14.668.69–16.0716.16–30.74
Offsides
54%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.433.60safe1.01–3.330.34–2.521.35–5.86safer0.71–3.630.05–2.810.76–6.45
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.943.70safe0.71–2.800.81–3.071.52–5.88safer0.44–3.070.52–3.360.96–6.43
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.126.09safe1.54–4.411.57–4.683.10–9.09safer1.15–4.801.14–5.102.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.44 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.58–6.30 2.09–6.79 | 4.72 2.97–6.46 2.51–6.93 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.58 8.66–16.51 7.57–17.60 | 13.05 9.49–16.62 8.53–17.58 | 25.64 18.15–33.12 16.10–35.17 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.37 5.43–11.32 4.60–12.15 | 8.90 6.22–11.58 5.48–12.32 | 17.27 11.65–22.90 10.08–24.46 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 3.60 1.95–5.26 1.46–5.75 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.04 2.82–7.25 2.25–7.82 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 49.07 42.28–55.86 40.61–57.53 | 50.51 43.72–57.29 42.05–58.96 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 438 370–505 352–523 | 433 366–499 349–517 | 871 737–1004 701–1040 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.72 61.70–69.75 60.40–71.05 | 68.91 64.59–73.23 63.28–74.54 | — | 32% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.91 7.48–14.66 | 12.38 9.43–15.32 8.69–16.07 | 23.45 17.67–29.23 16.16–30.74 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.60 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.71–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.96–6.43 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 3.12 1.57–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 6.09 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.