Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.853.28safe0.46–2.391.00–2.711.45–5.10safer0.21–2.640.77–2.930.97–5.58
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.865.6910.56safe3.00–6.733.95–7.436.95–14.16safer2.51–7.223.48–7.905.99–15.12
Total shots
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5015.3829.88safe10.57–18.4211.82–18.9422.39–37.36safer9.48–19.5110.86–19.9020.34–39.42
Shots in box
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6110.9920.60safe6.67–12.558.31–13.6714.98–26.22safer5.84–13.387.57–14.4113.41–27.79
Blocked shots
30%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.794.828.60safe1.90–5.673.17–6.475.07–12.14safer1.36–6.212.67–6.964.03–13.17
Corners
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.175.4110.58safe2.95–7.383.41–7.416.37–14.79safer2.38–7.952.88–7.955.26–15.90
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction45.6556.25safe38.86–52.4449.46–63.03safer37.19–54.1147.79–64.70
Passes
19%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction426529955safe359–493463–596822–1089safer341–511445–613786–1125
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction66.9577.24safe62.92–70.9872.91–81.56safer61.63–72.2771.60–82.87
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1110.2921.40safe8.27–13.957.35–13.2415.62–27.18safer7.51–14.706.60–13.9914.11–28.69
Offsides
67%
16%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.781.374.15safe1.62–3.940.27–2.461.90–6.40safer1.32–4.250.00–2.751.31–6.99
Yellow cards
40%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.703.47safe0.72–2.820.57–2.831.29–5.65safer0.46–3.090.28–3.120.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.247.01safe2.33–5.201.68–4.804.02–10.00safer1.94–5.591.26–5.223.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.39 0.21–2.64 | 1.85 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.93 | 3.28 1.45–5.10 0.97–5.58 | 30% 23% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 3.00–6.73 2.51–7.22 | 5.69 3.95–7.43 3.48–7.90 | 10.56 6.95–14.16 5.99–15.12 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 14.50 10.57–18.42 9.48–19.51 | 15.38 11.82–18.94 10.86–19.90 | 29.88 22.39–37.36 20.34–39.42 | 40% 53% |
| Shots in box | 9.61 6.67–12.55 5.84–13.38 | 10.99 8.31–13.67 7.57–14.41 | 20.60 14.98–26.22 13.41–27.79 | 34% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 4.82 3.17–6.47 2.67–6.96 | 8.60 5.07–12.14 4.03–13.17 | 30% 13% 57% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.95–7.38 2.38–7.95 | 5.41 3.41–7.41 2.88–7.95 | 10.58 6.37–14.79 5.26–15.90 | 41% 47% |
| Possession % | 45.65 38.86–52.44 37.19–54.11 | 56.25 49.46–63.03 47.79–64.70 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 426 359–493 341–511 | 529 463–596 445–613 | 955 822–1089 786–1125 | 19% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.95 62.92–70.98 61.63–72.27 | 77.24 72.91–81.56 71.60–82.87 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.27–13.95 7.51–14.70 | 10.29 7.35–13.24 6.60–13.99 | 21.40 15.62–27.18 14.11–28.69 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.78 1.62–3.94 1.32–4.25 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 4.15 1.90–6.40 1.31–6.99 | 67% 16% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 40% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.77 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 3.24 1.68–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 7.01 4.02–10.00 3.20–10.81 | 50% 15% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+