Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.222.073.28safe0.25–2.181.21–2.921.46–5.11safer0.00–2.440.98–3.150.98–5.59
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.816.099.90safe1.95–5.674.35–7.846.30–13.51safer1.46–6.163.89–8.305.34–14.46
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2816.2127.49safe7.36–15.2112.64–19.7720.00–34.98safer6.27–16.3011.68–20.7317.95–37.03
Shots in box
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2410.9818.22safe4.30–10.198.29–13.6612.60–23.84safer3.47–11.027.56–14.3911.03–25.41
Blocked shots
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.134.197.32safe1.25–5.012.54–5.853.79–10.86safer0.70–5.552.05–6.342.75–11.89
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.905.709.60safe1.69–6.123.69–7.705.38–13.81safer1.11–6.693.16–8.234.28–14.92
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction45.8956.28safe39.10–52.6849.50–63.07safer37.43–54.3547.83–64.74
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction446538984safe379–513472–605851–1118safer361–531454–622815–1154
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction70.9979.19safe66.96–75.0274.86–83.51safer65.66–76.3173.55–84.82
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7010.9023.60safe9.87–15.547.95–13.8417.82–29.38safer9.11–16.307.20–14.5916.32–30.89
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.603.34safe0.58–2.900.51–2.701.09–5.60safer0.28–3.200.22–2.990.50–6.19
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.923.60safe0.63–2.730.80–3.051.42–5.78safer0.36–2.990.50–3.340.86–6.34
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
57%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.622.646.26safe2.19–5.061.08–4.203.27–9.26safer1.80–5.450.66–4.622.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.44 | 2.07 1.21–2.92 0.98–3.15 | 3.28 1.46–5.11 0.98–5.59 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.81 1.95–5.67 1.46–6.16 | 6.09 4.35–7.84 3.89–8.30 | 9.90 6.30–13.51 5.34–14.46 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 11.28 7.36–15.21 6.27–16.30 | 16.21 12.64–19.77 11.68–20.73 | 27.49 20.00–34.98 17.95–37.03 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 7.24 4.30–10.19 3.47–11.02 | 10.98 8.29–13.66 7.56–14.39 | 18.22 12.60–23.84 11.03–25.41 | 16% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.13 1.25–5.01 0.70–5.55 | 4.19 2.54–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 7.32 3.79–10.86 2.75–11.89 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 3.90 1.69–6.12 1.11–6.69 | 5.70 3.69–7.70 3.16–8.23 | 9.60 5.38–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 45.89 39.10–52.68 37.43–54.35 | 56.28 49.50–63.07 47.83–64.74 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 361–531 | 538 472–605 454–622 | 984 851–1118 815–1154 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.99 66.96–75.02 65.66–76.31 | 79.19 74.86–83.51 73.55–84.82 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 12.70 9.87–15.54 9.11–16.30 | 10.90 7.95–13.84 7.20–14.59 | 23.60 17.82–29.38 16.32–30.89 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.60 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 3.34 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 1.92 0.80–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.86–6.34 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.62 2.19–5.06 1.80–5.45 | 2.64 1.08–4.20 0.66–4.62 | 6.26 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 57% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.