Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.743.41safe0.70–2.640.89–2.601.59–5.23safer0.45–2.890.66–2.831.11–5.71
Shots on target
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.515.3210.84safe3.65–7.383.58–7.067.23–14.44safer3.16–7.873.11–7.536.28–15.40
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4615.0332.50safe13.54–21.3811.47–18.6025.01–39.98safer12.44–22.4810.51–19.5622.96–42.03
Shots in box
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction10.729.2419.96safe7.78–13.676.56–11.9214.34–25.58safer6.95–14.495.82–12.6612.77–27.15
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.243.668.90safe3.36–7.122.00–5.315.36–12.43safer2.81–7.661.51–5.804.32–13.47
Corners
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.994.7510.75safe3.78–8.212.75–6.756.53–14.96safer3.21–8.782.22–7.295.43–16.07
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.6449.35safe43.85–57.4342.56–56.13safer42.18–59.1040.89–57.80
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction474455929safe407–541389–522796–1063safer389–560371–539760–1099
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction69.4873.83safe65.46–73.5169.50–78.15safer64.16–74.8168.20–79.46
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9112.1123.02safe8.07–13.749.17–15.0617.24–28.80safer7.31–14.508.42–15.8015.73–30.30
Offsides
51%
20%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.663.87safe1.05–3.370.57–2.751.62–6.12safer0.75–3.670.28–3.041.03–6.71
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.073.51safe0.39–2.490.94–3.201.33–5.69safer0.13–2.760.65–3.490.77–6.24
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.877.37safe2.06–4.932.31–5.424.37–10.36safer1.67–5.321.89–5.853.56–11.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.74 0.89–2.60 0.66–2.83 | 3.41 1.59–5.23 1.11–5.71 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Shots on target | 5.51 3.65–7.38 3.16–7.87 | 5.32 3.58–7.06 3.11–7.53 | 10.84 7.23–14.44 6.28–15.40 | 46% 42% |
| Total shots | 17.46 13.54–21.38 12.44–22.48 | 15.03 11.47–18.60 10.51–19.56 | 32.50 25.01–39.98 22.96–42.03 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 10.72 7.78–13.67 6.95–14.49 | 9.24 6.56–11.92 5.82–12.66 | 19.96 14.34–25.58 12.77–27.15 | 59% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 5.24 3.36–7.12 2.81–7.66 | 3.66 2.00–5.31 1.51–5.80 | 8.90 5.36–12.43 4.32–13.47 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.78–8.21 3.21–8.78 | 4.75 2.75–6.75 2.22–7.29 | 10.75 6.53–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 59% 30% |
| Possession % | 50.64 43.85–57.43 42.18–59.10 | 49.35 42.56–56.13 40.89–57.80 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 474 407–541 389–560 | 455 389–522 371–539 | 929 796–1063 760–1099 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.48 65.46–73.51 64.16–74.81 | 73.83 69.50–78.15 68.20–79.46 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 10.91 8.07–13.74 7.31–14.50 | 12.11 9.17–15.06 8.42–15.80 | 23.02 17.24–28.80 15.73–30.30 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.05–3.37 0.75–3.67 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.87 1.62–6.12 1.03–6.71 | 51% 20% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.77–6.24 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 3.87 2.31–5.42 1.89–5.85 | 7.37 4.37–10.36 3.56–11.17 | 37% 15% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+