Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
89%
homeawaytotalprediction3.780.814.60safe2.82–4.750.00–1.672.78–6.42safer2.56–5.000.00–1.902.30–6.90
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.942.8511.79safe7.08–10.801.10–4.598.18–15.39safer6.59–11.290.64–5.057.23–16.35
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.407.5829.98safe18.47–26.324.02–11.1422.49–37.47safer17.38–27.413.06–12.1020.44–39.52
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.794.7719.56safe11.84–17.732.09–7.4513.93–25.18safer11.01–18.561.35–8.1912.37–26.75
Blocked shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.141.948.08safe4.26–8.020.29–3.594.54–11.61safer3.71–8.560.00–4.083.51–12.65
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.972.5510.52safe5.75–10.180.55–4.556.30–14.73safer5.18–10.760.02–5.085.20–15.84
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.8231.19safe62.03–75.6124.40–37.97safer60.36–77.2822.73–39.64
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7283481076safe661–795282–415943–1210safer643–813264–432907–1246
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction83.3571.49safe79.33–87.3867.17–75.81safer78.03–88.6865.86–77.12
Fouls
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5011.1119.62safe5.66–11.348.17–14.0613.83–25.40safer4.91–12.097.42–14.8112.33–26.90
Offsides
32%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.983.59safe0.45–2.770.89–3.071.34–5.84safer0.15–3.070.60–3.360.75–6.43
Yellow cards
19%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.852.80safe0.00–2.000.72–2.980.62–4.98safer0.00–2.270.43–3.270.07–5.54
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
90%
homeawaytotalprediction1.985.927.90safe0.55–3.424.36–7.484.91–10.90safer0.16–3.813.94–7.904.10–11.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.78 2.82–4.75 2.56–5.00 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 4.60 2.78–6.42 2.30–6.90 | 89% |
| Shots on target | 8.94 7.08–10.80 6.59–11.29 | 2.85 1.10–4.59 0.64–5.05 | 11.79 8.18–15.39 7.23–16.35 | 95% |
| Total shots | 22.40 18.47–26.32 17.38–27.41 | 7.58 4.02–11.14 3.06–12.10 | 29.98 22.49–37.47 20.44–39.52 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 14.79 11.84–17.73 11.01–18.56 | 4.77 2.09–7.45 1.35–8.19 | 19.56 13.93–25.18 12.37–26.75 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.14 4.26–8.02 3.71–8.56 | 1.94 0.29–3.59 0.00–4.08 | 8.08 4.54–11.61 3.51–12.65 | 91% |
| Corners | 7.97 5.75–10.18 5.18–10.76 | 2.55 0.55–4.55 0.02–5.08 | 10.52 6.30–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 94% |
| Possession % | 68.82 62.03–75.61 60.36–77.28 | 31.19 24.40–37.97 22.73–39.64 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 728 661–795 643–813 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 1076 943–1210 907–1246 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.35 79.33–87.38 78.03–88.68 | 71.49 67.17–75.81 65.86–77.12 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 8.50 5.66–11.34 4.91–12.09 | 11.11 8.17–14.06 7.42–14.81 | 19.62 13.83–25.40 12.33–26.90 | 24% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.98 0.89–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 3.59 1.34–5.84 0.75–6.43 | 32% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 0.95 0.00–2.00 0.00–2.27 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 2.80 0.62–4.98 0.07–5.54 | 19% 22% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.98 0.55–3.42 0.16–3.81 | 5.92 4.36–7.48 3.94–7.90 | 7.90 4.91–10.90 4.10–11.71 | 90% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.