Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.133.53safe0.43–2.371.28–2.991.71–5.36safer0.18–2.621.05–3.211.23–5.84
Shots on target
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.476.0710.54safe2.61–6.334.32–7.816.93–14.14safer2.12–6.823.86–8.285.98–15.10
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8215.0428.86safe9.89–17.7411.48–18.6121.37–36.35safer8.80–18.8310.52–19.5719.32–38.40
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4510.5719.02safe5.51–11.397.89–13.2613.40–24.65safer4.68–12.227.16–13.9911.83–26.21
Blocked shots
42%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.014.048.06safe2.13–5.902.39–5.694.52–11.59safer1.59–6.441.90–6.193.49–12.63
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.215.4910.70safe3.00–7.423.49–7.496.49–14.92safer2.42–8.002.96–8.035.38–16.02
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction49.2751.87safe42.48–56.0645.09–58.66safer40.81–57.7343.41–60.33
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction489500989safe422–557433–566855–1123safer404–575416–584820–1158
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction71.7874.50safe67.76–75.8170.18–78.82safer66.46–77.1168.87–80.13
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5712.0321.60safe6.73–12.419.08–14.9715.82–27.38safer5.98–13.168.34–15.7214.31–28.89
Offsides
17%
14%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.773.405.16safe0.61–2.932.30–4.492.91–7.42safer0.31–3.232.01–4.782.32–8.01
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.913.45safe0.49–2.590.78–3.041.27–5.63safer0.23–2.860.49–3.330.72–6.19
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.216.87safe2.23–5.101.66–4.773.88–9.87safer1.84–5.491.23–5.193.07–10.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 2.13 1.28–2.99 1.05–3.21 | 3.53 1.71–5.36 1.23–5.84 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 6.07 4.32–7.81 3.86–8.28 | 10.54 6.93–14.14 5.98–15.10 | 26% 63% |
| Total shots | 13.82 9.89–17.74 8.80–18.83 | 15.04 11.48–18.61 10.52–19.57 | 28.86 21.37–36.35 19.32–38.40 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.45 5.51–11.39 4.68–12.22 | 10.57 7.89–13.26 7.16–13.99 | 19.02 13.40–24.65 11.83–26.21 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.13–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 4.04 2.39–5.69 1.90–6.19 | 8.06 4.52–11.59 3.49–12.63 | 42% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.21 3.00–7.42 2.42–8.00 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.96–8.03 | 10.70 6.49–14.92 5.38–16.02 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 49.27 42.48–56.06 40.81–57.73 | 51.87 45.09–58.66 43.41–60.33 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 489 422–557 404–575 | 500 433–566 416–584 | 989 855–1123 820–1158 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.78 67.76–75.81 66.46–77.11 | 74.50 70.18–78.82 68.87–80.13 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 9.57 6.73–12.41 5.98–13.16 | 12.03 9.08–14.97 8.34–15.72 | 21.60 15.82–27.38 14.31–28.89 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 3.40 2.30–4.49 2.01–4.78 | 5.16 2.91–7.42 2.32–8.01 | 17% 14% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.66 2.23–5.10 1.84–5.49 | 3.21 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.87 3.88–9.87 3.07–10.68 | 49% 15% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.