Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.220.973.19safe1.25–3.190.12–1.831.37–5.01safer1.00–3.440.00–2.060.89–5.49
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.613.4410.05safe4.75–8.471.69–5.186.44–13.65safer4.26–8.961.23–5.655.49–14.61
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.759.1827.93safe14.83–22.685.61–12.7420.44–35.41safer13.74–23.774.65–13.7018.39–37.46
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.615.8918.50safe9.67–15.553.21–8.5712.88–24.12safer8.84–16.382.47–9.3111.31–25.69
Blocked shots
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.122.918.03safe3.24–7.001.25–4.564.49–11.56safer2.70–7.550.76–5.053.46–12.60
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.363.129.48safe4.14–8.571.12–5.125.27–13.69safer3.57–9.140.59–5.664.16–14.80
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.1842.18safe50.39–63.9735.39–48.96safer48.72–65.6433.72–50.63
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction536384920safe469–603317–450786–1054safer451–622300–468751–1089
Pass accuracy %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction77.7274.93safe73.69–81.7570.60–79.25safer72.40–83.0469.29–80.56
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9513.0825.03safe9.11–14.7810.14–16.0219.24–30.81safer8.35–15.549.39–16.7717.74–32.31
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.613.30safe0.53–2.850.52–2.711.05–5.56safer0.23–3.150.23–2.990.46–6.15
Yellow cards
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.453.87safe0.37–2.471.32–3.581.69–6.05safer0.11–2.741.03–3.871.13–6.60
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.946.17safe0.80–3.672.38–5.503.18–9.17safer0.41–4.061.96–5.922.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.22 1.25–3.19 1.00–3.44 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.61 4.75–8.47 4.26–8.96 | 3.44 1.69–5.18 1.23–5.65 | 10.05 6.44–13.65 5.49–14.61 | 80% |
| Total shots | 18.75 14.83–22.68 13.74–23.77 | 9.18 5.61–12.74 4.65–13.70 | 27.93 20.44–35.41 18.39–37.46 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.61 9.67–15.55 8.84–16.38 | 5.89 3.21–8.57 2.47–9.31 | 18.50 12.88–24.12 11.31–25.69 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.12 3.24–7.00 2.70–7.55 | 2.91 1.25–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 8.03 4.49–11.56 3.46–12.60 | 73% 17% |
| Corners | 6.36 4.14–8.57 3.57–9.14 | 3.12 1.12–5.12 0.59–5.66 | 9.48 5.27–13.69 4.16–14.80 | 82% |
| Possession % | 57.18 50.39–63.97 48.72–65.64 | 42.18 35.39–48.96 33.72–50.63 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 536 469–603 451–622 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.72 73.69–81.75 72.40–83.04 | 74.93 70.60–79.25 69.29–80.56 | — | 62% 34% |
| Fouls | 11.95 9.11–14.78 8.35–15.54 | 13.08 10.14–16.02 9.39–16.77 | 25.03 19.24–30.81 17.74–32.31 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.61 0.52–2.71 0.23–2.99 | 3.30 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.13–6.60 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.80–3.67 0.41–4.06 | 3.94 2.38–5.50 1.96–5.92 | 6.17 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.