Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.383.04safe0.69–2.620.53–2.241.21–4.86safer0.44–2.880.30–2.460.73–5.34
Shots on target
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.6110.01safe3.53–7.252.87–6.366.40–13.61safer3.04–7.742.41–6.825.45–14.57
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8212.5028.32safe11.89–19.748.93–16.0620.83–35.80safer10.80–20.837.97–17.0218.78–37.85
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.548.2318.78safe7.60–13.495.55–10.9213.16–24.40safer6.77–14.324.82–11.6511.59–25.97
Blocked shots
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.793.828.61safe2.91–6.682.17–5.475.08–12.15safer2.37–7.221.67–5.964.04–13.18
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.8710.53safe3.44–7.872.87–6.876.32–14.74safer2.87–8.442.34–7.415.21–15.85
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.2553.63safe39.46–53.0446.84–60.41safer37.79–54.7145.17–62.08
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction436490926safe369–503423–556792–1060safer351–522406–574757–1095
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction69.6075.98safe65.57–73.6371.66–80.31safer64.27–74.9270.35–81.61
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1112.6823.79safe8.27–13.949.74–15.6318.01–29.57safer7.51–14.708.99–16.3716.50–31.07
Offsides
36%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.623.11safe0.34–2.660.52–2.710.86–5.37safer0.03–2.960.24–3.000.27–5.96
Yellow cards
26%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.163.62safe0.41–2.511.03–3.291.44–5.80safer0.14–2.770.74–3.580.88–6.36
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.406.47safe1.63–4.501.85–4.963.48–9.46safer1.24–4.891.42–5.392.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.62 0.44–2.88 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.46 | 3.04 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.34 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.25 3.04–7.74 | 4.61 2.87–6.36 2.41–6.82 | 10.01 6.40–13.61 5.45–14.57 | 53% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.82 11.89–19.74 10.80–20.83 | 12.50 8.93–16.06 7.97–17.02 | 28.32 20.83–35.80 18.78–37.85 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 10.54 7.60–13.49 6.77–14.32 | 8.23 5.55–10.92 4.82–11.65 | 18.78 13.16–24.40 11.59–25.97 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.79 2.91–6.68 2.37–7.22 | 3.82 2.17–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 8.61 5.08–12.15 4.04–13.18 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.44 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.34–7.41 | 10.53 6.32–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 46.25 39.46–53.04 37.79–54.71 | 53.63 46.84–60.41 45.17–62.08 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–522 | 490 423–556 406–574 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.60 65.57–73.63 64.27–74.92 | 75.98 71.66–80.31 70.35–81.61 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.27–13.94 7.51–14.70 | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.37 | 23.79 18.01–29.57 16.50–31.07 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.03–2.96 | 1.62 0.52–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.11 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 36% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.88–6.36 | 26% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.39 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.67–10.28 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.