Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.232.093.32safe0.26–2.201.24–2.941.50–5.14safer0.01–2.451.01–3.171.02–5.62
Shots on target
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction4.006.5410.54safe2.14–5.864.80–8.286.94–14.15safer1.65–6.354.33–8.755.98–15.10
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1217.8430.96safe9.19–17.0414.28–21.4123.47–38.45safer8.10–18.1313.32–22.3721.42–40.50
Shots in box
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6012.1620.76safe5.66–11.549.48–14.8415.14–26.38safer4.83–12.378.74–15.5813.57–27.95
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.314.908.21safe1.43–5.203.25–6.554.68–11.75safer0.89–5.742.75–7.053.64–12.78
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.566.2610.82safe2.35–6.774.26–8.266.61–15.04safer1.77–7.353.73–8.805.50–16.14
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.8155.59safe38.02–51.6048.81–62.38safer36.35–53.2747.14–64.05
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction369460830safe302–437394–527696–963safer284–455376–544660–999
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction61.9773.15safe57.94–66.0068.83–77.47safer56.65–67.2967.52–78.78
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7913.6125.40safe8.95–14.6210.67–16.5619.62–31.18safer8.19–15.389.92–17.3118.11–32.69
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.983.66safe0.53–2.850.88–3.071.41–5.92safer0.22–3.150.59–3.360.82–6.51
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.924.10safe1.12–3.220.80–3.051.92–6.28safer0.86–3.490.50–3.341.36–6.83
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
57%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.812.866.68safe2.37–5.251.31–4.423.68–9.67safer1.99–5.630.88–4.852.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 2.09 1.24–2.94 1.01–3.17 | 3.32 1.50–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.14–5.86 1.65–6.35 | 6.54 4.80–8.28 4.33–8.75 | 10.54 6.94–14.15 5.98–15.10 | 17% 74% |
| Total shots | 13.12 9.19–17.04 8.10–18.13 | 17.84 14.28–21.41 13.32–22.37 | 30.96 23.47–38.45 21.42–40.50 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 8.60 5.66–11.54 4.83–12.37 | 12.16 9.48–14.84 8.74–15.58 | 20.76 15.14–26.38 13.57–27.95 | 19% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.20 0.89–5.74 | 4.90 3.25–6.55 2.75–7.05 | 8.21 4.68–11.75 3.64–12.78 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 4.56 2.35–6.77 1.77–7.35 | 6.26 4.26–8.26 3.73–8.80 | 10.82 6.61–15.04 5.50–16.14 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 44.81 38.02–51.60 36.35–53.27 | 55.59 48.81–62.38 47.14–64.05 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 369 302–437 284–455 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 830 696–963 660–999 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.97 57.94–66.00 56.65–67.29 | 73.15 68.83–77.47 67.52–78.78 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.62 8.19–15.38 | 13.61 10.67–16.56 9.92–17.31 | 25.40 19.62–31.18 18.11–32.69 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.22–3.15 | 1.98 0.88–3.07 0.59–3.36 | 3.66 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 1.92 0.80–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.83 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.81 2.37–5.25 1.99–5.63 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.85 | 6.68 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 57% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.