Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.013.04safe1.06–2.990.15–1.861.21–4.86safer0.81–3.250.00–2.090.73–5.34
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.663.479.12safe3.79–7.521.72–5.215.52–12.73safer3.31–8.011.26–5.674.56–13.68
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction14.639.6524.28safe10.71–18.566.08–13.2116.79–31.77safer9.62–19.655.13–14.1714.74–33.82
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.806.6617.47safe7.86–13.743.98–9.3511.84–23.09safer7.03–14.573.25–10.0810.28–24.66
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.672.727.39safe2.79–6.551.07–4.373.85–10.93safer2.25–7.100.57–4.862.82–11.96
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.173.819.98safe3.95–8.381.81–5.815.77–14.19safer3.38–8.951.28–6.354.66–15.30
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.3240.39safe53.53–67.1133.61–47.18safer51.86–68.7831.94–48.85
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction548356904safe480–615290–423770–1037safer462–633272–440734–1073
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction74.2670.30safe70.23–78.2965.97–74.62safer68.94–79.5864.66–75.93
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9511.1121.07safe7.11–12.798.17–14.0615.28–26.85safer6.36–13.547.42–14.8113.78–28.35
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.993.85safe0.69–3.010.90–3.091.59–6.10safer0.39–3.310.61–3.371.00–6.69
Yellow cards
27%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.983.37safe0.33–2.430.86–3.111.19–5.54safer0.07–2.700.56–3.400.63–6.10
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.435.67safe0.80–3.681.87–4.992.68–8.66safer0.42–4.061.45–5.411.87–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–2.99 0.81–3.25 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 3.04 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.34 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.66 3.79–7.52 3.31–8.01 | 3.47 1.72–5.21 1.26–5.67 | 9.12 5.52–12.73 4.56–13.68 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 14.63 10.71–18.56 9.62–19.65 | 9.65 6.08–13.21 5.13–14.17 | 24.28 16.79–31.77 14.74–33.82 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 10.80 7.86–13.74 7.03–14.57 | 6.66 3.98–9.35 3.25–10.08 | 17.47 11.84–23.09 10.28–24.66 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.67 2.79–6.55 2.25–7.10 | 2.72 1.07–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 7.39 3.85–10.93 2.82–11.96 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.17 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.95 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.28–6.35 | 9.98 5.77–14.19 4.66–15.30 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.32 53.53–67.11 51.86–68.78 | 40.39 33.61–47.18 31.94–48.85 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 548 480–615 462–633 | 356 290–423 272–440 | 904 770–1037 734–1073 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.26 70.23–78.29 68.94–79.58 | 70.30 65.97–74.62 64.66–75.93 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 9.95 7.11–12.79 6.36–13.54 | 11.11 8.17–14.06 7.42–14.81 | 21.07 15.28–26.85 13.78–28.35 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.37 | 3.85 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 1.98 0.86–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.37 1.19–5.54 0.63–6.10 | 27% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.80–3.68 0.42–4.06 | 3.43 1.87–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.87–9.47 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.